@Maybeforged

#573,5852

0xe0abb3466fcf3eb4e6b28f49acce3d39924bd374

~11d· 45 markets · 132 tradesVol: $6,3412026-08-02 07:56:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

2
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

21% (3/14)0/20
0.15x (win $5 / loss $36)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -11.5230/15
Sortino -10.0870/10
$-0.1367 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2005 (14 markets)2.5/10
3/14 profitable days (21%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($31 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+5
Lottery Player
65% entries < $0.20

Categories

7
CRYPTO#1,332,715$-33Vol: $2,216
SPORTS#154,197$59Vol: $1,706
🏛️ POLITICS#1,058,673$-3Vol: $966
💻 TECH#204,680$-2Vol: $504
🌤️ WEATHER#198,676$-1Vol: $431
📈 ECONOMICS#505,035$-2Vol: $431
📢 MENTIONS#133,746$-13Vol: $88

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,341
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
45
total markets
Trades
48B / 84S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~11d

Periods

#2
Today
$-7
Vol: $0
Week
$-23
Vol: $0
Month
$-12
Vol: $1,375
All Time
$5
Vol: $6,341

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
20%
3W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$5
Win Rate
20%
3W / 12L
Profit Factor
0.15x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5 (1.1163265306122447% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$1

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$-10
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during cabinet meeting?$-4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.581
Sortino
-0.633
HHI
14
Diversified
EV per $1
$-1.274
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.2%
Top-5 markets
6.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
39.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
39
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.4

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2379s — normal for humanCV 0.93 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern14/24 hours — normal schedule5 trades/day — normal1.7 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.57
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)64.6%
Mid (20-55c)27.1%
High (>55c)8.3%

Sessions

#12
7/28/2026, 2:13:05 PM3 trades$1390 min
8/1/2026, 7:36:20 AM8 trades$1251 min
7/31/2026, 11:23:30 AM6 trades$1155 min
7/26/2026, 2:57:00 AM7 trades$1130 min
7/29/2026, 4:39:11 PM5 trades$1064 min
7/29/2026, 6:47:08 AM2 trades$890 min
7/25/2026, 5:57:10 PM4 trades$801 min
8/1/2026, 11:07:44 AM9 trades$680 min
7/31/2026, 6:00:54 AM2 trades$600 min
7/31/2026, 5:54:14 AM3 trades$420 min
8/1/2026, 6:09:47 AM9 trades$337 min
8/1/2026, 3:38:02 PM2 trades$330 min
8/1/2026, 11:14:15 AM2 trades$230 min
7/31/2026, 7:16:53 AM2 trades$210 min
7/26/2026, 2:29:16 PM2 trades$200 min
7/6/2026, 6:19:49 PM2 trades$190 min
7/20/2026, 5:36:39 PM2 trades$170 min
7/23/2026, 2:20:39 PM2 trades$160 min
7/28/2026, 1:19:14 PM10 trades$162 min
7/20/2026, 5:05:46 PM2 trades$110 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-07-20 17:10:00
2026-07-23 14:45:00
2026-07-23 16:35:00
2026-07-23 18:25:00
2026-07-24 02:20:00
2026-07-25 18:15:00
2026-07-31 23:59:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.57/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L64.6 / M27.1 / H8.3