@Sherpal

22

0xe1316fd49483c276d023e0d98a0eea7b2bdb7594

~173d· 490 markets · 1809 trades2026-08-02 07:40:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (203/480)6.1/20
0.87x (win $19,356 / loss $22,299)0.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.9370/15
Sortino -1.1300/10
$-0.0028 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 69 (480 markets)10/10
76/147 profitable days (52%)5.4/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($4,436 / $0)0/10

Badges

4
Whale
$1,062,534 invested
High Roller
$4,409/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-136
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,062,534
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
490
total markets
Trades
903B / 906S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~173d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
42%
203W / 277L events
Realized PnL
$-136
Win Rate
42%
203W / 277L
Profit Factor
0.87x
Avg Win
$95
Avg Loss
$-104

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,312 (24.333137398971346% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$1,254
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23?$1,057
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-17?$1,001
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?$879
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore$759
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-01?$631
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?$581
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels$574
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-11?$496
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-06?$492

Top Losers

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?$-2,421
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-01?$-1,394
Will Bodø/Glimt reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?$-1,020
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?$-962
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?$-875
Flyers vs. Islanders$-803
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?$-779
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-14?$-767
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$-730
Nuggets vs. Heat$-621

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.049
Sortino
-0.045
HHI
67
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.8%
Top-5 markets
6.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 602s — normal for humanCV 2.06 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal2.0 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.52
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20.5%
Mid (20-55c)24.3%
High (>55c)55.3%

Sessions

#12
11/30/2025, 3:37:13 AM5 trades$26,4938 min
12/24/2025, 11:03:45 PM7 trades$26,09212 min
12/3/2025, 8:27:33 PM3 trades$20,4173 min
2/26/2026, 7:33:56 PM2 trades$19,8392 min
12/4/2025, 3:52:45 PM4 trades$19,4665 min
2/13/2026, 5:08:19 PM2 trades$18,6500 min
1/27/2026, 9:17:15 PM3 trades$18,5982 min
12/9/2025, 11:07:03 AM3 trades$17,8944 min
1/5/2026, 5:54:45 PM3 trades$17,6006 min
1/25/2026, 5:44:20 AM2 trades$17,0241 min
12/1/2025, 9:22:36 PM4 trades$17,0226 min
2/20/2026, 2:04:38 PM6 trades$16,4506 min
3/26/2026, 4:41:53 AM2 trades$16,1004 min
3/18/2026, 9:20:15 PM2 trades$16,1000 min
2/20/2026, 2:49:44 AM2 trades$16,0161 min
2/14/2026, 11:23:31 AM7 trades$15,98413 min
1/24/2026, 11:10:22 AM3 trades$15,8293 min
12/12/2025, 5:40:24 PM3 trades$14,6006 min
1/13/2026, 7:51:40 PM2 trades$14,4002 min
12/21/2025, 1:55:53 AM2 trades$12,6830 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-30
12-26
01-22
02-19
03-17
04-25
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.52/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L20.5 / M24.3 / H55.3