@oculus1

#3,060,32374

0xe168b5394c715b1714b5093d22c681556d3ee559

~44d· 102 markets · 573 tradesVol: $678,8542026-08-02 09:32:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

74
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

69% (70/101)19.7/20
1.40x (win $20,570 / loss $14,702)7.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.16815/15
Sortino 2.72910/10
$+0.0543 per $1 invested2.7/10
HHI 588 (101 markets)9.6/10
26/38 profitable days (68%)9.6/10
Max DD 141% of peak ($8,279 / $5,868)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 69%
DCA Master
Avg 5.6 entries/market
Whale
$108,024 invested
Consistent
26/38 profitable days
Win Streak
13 wins in a row

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,637,689$-13,204Vol: $580,795
SPORTS#1,852,845$-2,008Vol: $76,438
💰 FINANCE#4,465$920Vol: $15,174
CRYPTO#1,594,770$-586Vol: $4,800
📈 ECONOMICS#6,705$283Vol: $1,647

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-14,594
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$678,854
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
102
total markets
Trades
233B / 340S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~44d

Periods

#2
Today
$215
Vol: $6,735
Week
$1,379
Vol: $6,735
Month
$609
Vol: $9,617
All Time
$-14,594
Vol: $678,854

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
69%
70W / 31L events
Realized PnL
$-14,594
Win Rate
69%
70W / 31L
Profit Factor
1.4x
Avg Win
$294
Avg Loss
$-565

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,936 (0.26972650066946147% of PnL)

Top Winners

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$1,471
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$1,405
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?$1,060
Panama vs. England: Both Teams to Score$1,038
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$998
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$928
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?$861
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$840
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?$822
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?$819

Top Losers

Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?$-4,724
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?$-3,260
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?$-2,189
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?$-1,316
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$-770
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?$-729
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?$-600
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$-200
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$-157
Scotland vs. Brazil: Both Teams to Score$-123

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.112
Sortino
0.075
HHI
528
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.056
Kelly %
37.8%
Half-Kelly
18.9%
Top-1 market
9.6%
Top-5 markets
43.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.0

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 98s — normal for humanCV 3.21 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.6
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.6%
Mid (20-55c)33.5%
High (>55c)60.9%

Sessions

#12
3/1/2026, 12:25:37 PM3 trades$30,5035 min
3/2/2026, 6:02:55 AM2 trades$20,7810 min
3/1/2026, 4:37:41 PM2 trades$20,1851 min
3/3/2026, 11:45:01 AM4 trades$15,9417 min
7/11/2026, 5:30:28 AM9 trades$13,2071 min
3/2/2026, 3:24:21 PM2 trades$9,7001 min
3/4/2026, 6:47:53 PM1 trades$6,9270 min
2/28/2026, 7:06:39 AM3 trades$6,8592 min
3/4/2026, 1:37:01 PM2 trades$6,4290 min
3/3/2026, 2:14:55 PM1 trades$6,4290 min
3/3/2026, 12:17:53 PM3 trades$5,2352 min
6/8/2026, 11:40:21 AM136 trades$3,97922 min
8/2/2026, 5:45:30 AM7 trades$3,8580 min
6/8/2026, 3:06:03 AM14 trades$3,4414 min
6/14/2026, 8:57:40 PM33 trades$3,1207 min
2/27/2026, 2:31:53 PM5 trades$2,7733 min
7/26/2026, 3:11:09 PM2 trades$2,7280 min
2/28/2026, 6:26:35 AM2 trades$2,5612 min
6/8/2026, 2:55:13 AM2 trades$2,3470 min
7/14/2026, 8:21:31 PM7 trades$2,2391 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-13
02-28
03-07
06-14
06-21
06-29
07-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 104 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.6/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.6 / M33.5 / H60.9