@illumination

#17,03565

0xe1b5920c9d192a7cb74887529ea6caa640928378

~66d· 70 markets · 566 tradesVol: $304,1212026-08-02 06:34:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

65
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (15/56)0/20
2.59x (win $13,822 / loss $5,338)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.42415/15
Sortino 15.21010/10
$+0.1720 per $1 invested8.6/10
HHI 1175 (56 markets)6.6/10
11/38 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 23% of peak ($2,038 / $8,914)9.4/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+8,339
Lottery Player
91% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 23%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
86% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#3,816$9,912Vol: $183,683
CRYPTO#1,628,765$-1,372Vol: $30,691
📈 ECONOMICS#677,802$-970Vol: $30,000
💻 TECH#2,028$579Vol: $24,098
🎭 CULTURE#798,568$-273Vol: $20,857
💰 FINANCE#632,130$-101Vol: $7,521
SPORTS#50,706$620Vol: $4,039
📢 MENTIONS#157,537$-55Vol: $3,232

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$8,339
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$304,121
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
70
total markets
Trades
502B / 64S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~66d

Periods

#2
Today
$-177
Vol: $239
Week
$-189
Vol: $239
Month
$-194
Vol: $242
All Time
$8,339
Vol: $304,121

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
15W / 41L events
Realized PnL
$8,339
Win Rate
27%
15W / 41L
Profit Factor
2.59x
Avg Win
$921
Avg Loss
$-130

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,252 (1.1095253855987184% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$4,294
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$2,646
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$2,312
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$917
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$731
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?$486
Xi Jinping out in 2025?$470
TikTok sale announced in 2025?$372
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$345
Epstein client list released in 2025?$264

Top Losers

Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?$-734
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$-570
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$-536
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?$-517
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$-360
US forces enter Iran by March 14?$-306
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-270
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?$-256
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-242
No airdrop in 2025?$-129

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.229
Sortino
0.784
HHI
939
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.180
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.8%
Top-5 markets
63%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.49
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 442s — normal for humanCV 6.49 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal86% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.89
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)91.2%
Mid (20-55c)3%
High (>55c)5.8%

Sessions

#12
12/4/2025, 2:57:47 PM1 trades$9,4720 min
12/3/2025, 5:20:41 AM1 trades$9,2640 min
11/23/2025, 1:07:53 PM2 trades$6,7363 min
12/6/2025, 6:56:55 AM1 trades$6,5550 min
10/17/2025, 5:36:49 PM1 trades$6,2490 min
1/31/2026, 1:32:00 PM1 trades$3,4000 min
1/25/2026, 3:15:20 PM1 trades$3,0710 min
1/11/2026, 11:28:34 PM3 trades$2,2131 min
12/20/2025, 7:38:53 PM1 trades$2,1330 min
1/1/2026, 10:39:29 PM6 trades$2,1027 min
12/23/2025, 1:21:07 PM1 trades$1,9980 min
5/13/2026, 9:44:58 AM1 trades$1,5280 min
2/24/2026, 4:51:02 PM11 trades$1,22112 min
12/28/2025, 8:10:31 PM1 trades$1,1770 min
6/22/2026, 4:04:31 PM31 trades$1,1423 min
12/21/2025, 1:08:29 AM1 trades$1,1110 min
12/21/2025, 2:44:49 AM1 trades$1,0700 min
12/17/2025, 10:54:59 PM1 trades$1,0330 min
12/14/2025, 9:06:31 AM1 trades$1,0000 min
1/11/2026, 5:43:28 PM1 trades$1,0000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-23
12-21
01-31
03-22
05-13
06-04
07-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 51 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
11.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.89/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L91.2 / M3 / H5.8