@vanguardorigin

#2,031,17681

0xe1eb8f20745311012bad561dee6800ac4103ad1f

~22d· 57 markets · 382 tradesVol: $36,0862026-08-02 05:19:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

81
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

75% (12/16)20/20
165.74x (win $39 / loss $0)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 11.28615/15
Sortino 1180.65410/10
$+0.0011 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 2386 (16 markets)0.6/10
8/11 profitable days (73%)10/10
Max DD 1% of peak ($0 / $38)10/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 75%
DCA Master
Avg 6.6 entries/market
Consistent
8/11 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 1%

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,245,674$-9Vol: $17,454
SPORTS#1,262,750$-6Vol: $13,009
CRYPTO#948,911$-2Vol: $5,022
🎭 CULTURE#440,711$-0Vol: $415
💰 FINANCE#366,276$-0Vol: $118
💻 TECH#147,692$-0Vol: $68

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-18
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$36,086
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
57
total markets
Trades
171B / 211S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $252
All Time
$-18
Vol: $36,086

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
75%
12W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$-18
Win Rate
75%
12W / 4L
Profit Factor
167.52x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $35 (1.9836343115124153% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?$10
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?$6
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June?$1
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?$0
Will Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$0
Will Park Jae-ho win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$0
Will Rafael Leao be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0
Will Boris Johnson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0

Top Losers

Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-0
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-0
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.563
Sortino
37.867
HHI
175
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.004
Kelly %
67.7%
Half-Kelly
33.8%
Top-1 market
7.6%
Top-5 markets
26.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
45.9m
between trades
Night Trading
41%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.91
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 515s — normal for humanCV 1.91 — diverse sizes (human-like)41% night trades — never sleeps15/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.62
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.1%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)95.9%

Sessions

#12
6/18/2026, 6:54:29 AM2 trades$2,3720 min
6/18/2026, 7:19:34 AM5 trades$2,3030 min
5/22/2026, 4:11:15 AM2 trades$1,4830 min
6/20/2026, 12:03:10 AM2 trades$1,3400 min
6/19/2026, 11:43:04 PM2 trades$1,3060 min
6/17/2026, 8:33:23 AM2 trades$1,2790 min
6/17/2026, 8:08:52 AM2 trades$1,2440 min
6/18/2026, 6:08:56 AM2 trades$1,2210 min
6/18/2026, 6:37:10 AM2 trades$1,2210 min
6/19/2026, 11:01:01 PM2 trades$1,2170 min
6/17/2026, 7:49:08 AM3 trades$1,2080 min
6/20/2026, 12:41:49 AM2 trades$1,2080 min
6/17/2026, 6:31:44 AM2 trades$1,2070 min
6/17/2026, 7:14:31 AM3 trades$1,1960 min
6/20/2026, 12:21:16 AM2 trades$1,1930 min
5/22/2026, 5:27:56 AM3 trades$1,0470 min
5/23/2026, 2:51:12 AM2 trades$1,0290 min
5/24/2026, 1:50:52 AM12 trades$1,0100 min
5/22/2026, 5:03:31 AM2 trades$9970 min
5/24/2026, 1:35:49 AM5 trades$9800 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-30
04-02
05-22
05-23
05-24
05-26
06-18
06-20
06-21
06-24
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.62/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.1 / M0 / H95.9