@Elposton

#3,053,4557

0xe228f29215f2a0e9b5a5f57a0974063e23401f4c

~114d· 186 markets · 4160 tradesVol: $2,908,7482026-08-02 07:44:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

18% (34/184)0/20
0.82x (win $30,293 / loss $36,746)0.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.2540/15
Sortino -2.4890/10
$-0.0671 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1110 (184 markets)7/10
14/64 profitable days (22%)0/10
Max DD 4409% of peak ($13,246 / $300)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
56% entries < $0.20
Whale
$96,140 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

6
📈 ECONOMICS#680,591$-2,960Vol: $1,853,443
₿ CRYPTO#1,658,409$-3,332Vol: $579,844
🏛️ POLITICS#1,618,299$-1,194Vol: $300,941
💰 FINANCE#653,163$-1,068Vol: $126,950
⚽ SPORTS#1,758,013$-263Vol: $4,990
🎭 CULTURE#290,399$0Vol: $83

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-9,239
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,908,748
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
186
total markets
Trades
935B / 3225S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~114d

Periods

#2
Today
$-135
Vol: $323
Week
$-72
Vol: $323
Month
$-156
Vol: $2,592
All Time
$-9,239
Vol: $2,908,748

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
18%
34W / 150L events
Realized PnL
$-9,239
Win Rate
18%
34W / 150L
Profit Factor
0.82x
Avg Win
$891
Avg Loss
$-248

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $17,365 (1.8794337294629522% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?$7,496
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$6,575
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 15?$3,294
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$2,682
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 25?$2,308
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?$2,237
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?$957
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$876
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 24?$856
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 4?$514

Top Losers

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$-2,708
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$-2,627
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?$-1,767
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?$-1,736
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 25?$-1,348
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4?$-1,319
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-1,316
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 March 16-22?$-1,269
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 29?$-1,015
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$-961

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.065
Sortino
-0.153
HHI
445
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.067
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12%
Top-5 markets
39.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
28.5
Active
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.40
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
22.1

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 478s — normal for humanCV 2.40 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours20/24 hours — extended activity28 trades/day — high frequency1.3 markets/day — normal14% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
22.57
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)55.8%
Mid (20-55c)16.6%
High (>55c)27.6%

Sessions

#12
7/14/2026, 1:55:22 PM2 trades$66,2320 min
6/4/2026, 1:28:07 AM57 trades$52,5722 min
6/8/2026, 7:05:55 PM15 trades$29,2491 min
7/29/2026, 1:01:10 AM2 trades$21,5000 min
7/7/2026, 1:10:28 AM45 trades$13,7210 min
6/9/2026, 11:51:34 AM9 trades$10,9280 min
7/8/2026, 10:27:50 AM27 trades$8,4150 min
6/15/2026, 1:35:01 PM21 trades$8,4156 min
6/4/2026, 1:40:51 PM49 trades$8,3858 min
6/17/2026, 12:13:41 PM11 trades$8,3521 min
7/27/2026, 6:21:30 PM2 trades$8,1070 min
6/16/2026, 11:42:01 PM13 trades$7,9272 min
7/15/2026, 7:03:17 PM2 trades$7,1380 min
5/12/2026, 11:29:48 AM45 trades$6,9061 min
3/31/2026, 5:34:39 PM6 trades$6,4300 min
6/2/2026, 11:10:59 AM30 trades$6,3946 min
3/31/2026, 5:04:15 PM10 trades$5,8101 min
7/28/2026, 3:47:59 PM2 trades$5,6600 min
4/2/2026, 7:10:15 PM8 trades$5,3460 min
6/3/2026, 7:45:07 PM20 trades$5,3260 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-11
03-23
04-05
05-06
06-11
06-23
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 57 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
77.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 22.57/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L55.8 / M16.6 / H27.6