@0xe31b69A0d64C2483654CaE73F15C98836b6F5f28-1769024771862

#2,997,88210

0xe31b69a0d64c2483654cae73f15c98836b6f5f28

~41d· 141 markets · 900 tradesVol: $234,2742026-08-02 07:33:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

26% (32/123)0/20
0.54x (win $4,124 / loss $7,685)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.6260/15
Sortino -5.1690/10
$-0.1661 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 483 (123 markets)10/10
10/34 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 462% of peak ($4,977 / $1,076)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
59% entries < $0.20

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,608,632$-781Vol: $166,123
💰 FINANCE#653,358$-1,119Vol: $40,915
⚽ SPORTS#246,637$16Vol: $13,994
📈 ECONOMICS#22,530$33Vol: $7,077
🎭 CULTURE#797,079$-243Vol: $5,004
📢 MENTIONS#146,124$-25Vol: $641
₿ CRYPTO#1,146,318$-10Vol: $344
💻 TECH#225,888$-10Vol: $176

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,139
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$234,274
Total Redeem
$1,091
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
141
total markets
Trades
375B / 525S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~41d

Periods

#2
Today
$-30
Vol: $0
Week
$-45
Vol: $0
Month
$-32
Vol: $0
All Time
$-2,139
Vol: $234,274

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
26%
32W / 91L events
Realized PnL
$-2,139
Win Rate
26%
32W / 91L
Profit Factor
0.54x
Avg Win
$129
Avg Loss
$-97

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,380 (1.1124704320427836% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$1,392
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$658
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$330
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$261
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$236
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$234
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?$114
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$113
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 20, 2026?$101
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$71

Top Losers

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$-1,200
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$-1,084
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$-600
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$-400
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$-242
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$-240
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?$-222
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?$-206
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$-201
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?$-200

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.239
Sortino
-0.252
HHI
420
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.186
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.2%
Top-5 markets
31.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.28
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.0

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 88s — normal for humanCV 2.28 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity7 trades/day — normal1.2 markets/day — normal20% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.47
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)58.9%
Mid (20-55c)22.1%
High (>55c)18.9%

Sessions

#12
6/19/2026, 11:17:43 AM35 trades$10,7678 min
6/16/2026, 12:09:10 PM8 trades$6,8670 min
4/21/2026, 8:29:04 PM9 trades$5,0691 min
4/13/2026, 7:41:33 PM71 trades$5,06611 min
4/7/2026, 11:09:57 PM10 trades$2,8784 min
4/29/2026, 7:30:12 PM42 trades$2,7096 min
5/9/2026, 7:20:16 PM22 trades$2,6801 min
6/11/2026, 12:26:30 PM15 trades$2,5611 min
4/7/2026, 10:38:25 PM7 trades$2,3360 min
4/19/2026, 10:06:10 PM44 trades$2,33511 min
6/11/2026, 2:08:34 PM8 trades$2,2730 min
4/18/2026, 5:33:08 PM45 trades$2,23910 min
4/7/2026, 10:58:37 PM14 trades$2,1344 min
3/23/2026, 8:05:27 PM9 trades$1,6078 min
4/19/2026, 6:22:14 PM9 trades$1,5215 min
4/7/2026, 8:29:51 PM14 trades$1,3064 min
3/24/2026, 12:22:51 AM4 trades$1,2835 min
6/13/2026, 4:02:19 PM31 trades$1,1724 min
6/19/2026, 8:57:50 AM4 trades$1,0450 min
4/8/2026, 5:20:59 PM20 trades$9825 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-14
03-22
04-10
04-21
05-09
06-10
06-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 64 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.47/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L58.9 / M22.1 / H18.9