@alwaysfade

#3,065,50429

0xe5b70fd855af9258d9463992e4f1ed7987905ee3

~52d· 123 markets · 8649 tradesVol: $7,270,2762026-08-02 06:37:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

39% (45/114)4.7/20
1.03x (win $1,394,632 / loss $1,350,679)2.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.2334.4/15
Sortino 0.3193.2/10
$+0.0181 per $1 invested0.9/10
HHI 620 (114 markets)9.4/10
14/32 profitable days (44%)3.4/10
Max DD 140% of peak ($432,362 / $309,855)0/10

Badges

6
Contrarian
90% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
7% sells
Whale
$2,432,810 invested
High Roller
$8,783/day
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
92% maker orders

Categories

6
SPORTS#1,880,009$-27,217Vol: $6,668,934
🏛️ POLITICS#1,610,774$-934Vol: $399,865
🎭 CULTURE#2,323$2,979Vol: $148,000
CRYPTO#1,568,224$-340Vol: $35,476
💰 FINANCE#655,011$-1,950Vol: $10,000
📈 ECONOMICS#667,288$-197Vol: $8,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-27,660
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,270,276
Total Redeem
$431,412
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
123
total markets
Trades
8011B / 638S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~52d

Periods

#2
Week
$-265
Vol: $0
Month
$24
Vol: $1,146
All Time
$-27,660
Vol: $7,270,276

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
39%
44W / 69L events
Realized PnL
$-27,704
Win Rate
39%
44W / 69L
Profit Factor
1.03x
Avg Win
$30,992
Avg Loss
$-19,575

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $681,775 (24.609675655286058% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spurs vs. Knicks$278,300
Knicks vs. Spurs$208,412
Knicks vs. Spurs$195,063
Pistons vs. Magic$113,459
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)$58,000
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves$56,617
Rockets vs. Lakers$55,893
76ers vs. Celtics$50,860
Pistons vs. Cavaliers$42,980
Hawks vs. Knicks$40,982

Top Losers

Spurs vs. Knicks$-436,706
Thunder vs. Suns$-156,701
Lakers vs. Rockets$-141,679
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets$-92,759
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)$-69,598
Cavaliers vs. Pistons$-62,352
Magic vs. Pistons$-46,000
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$-41,000
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5$-38,100
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)$-36,400

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.012
Sortino
0.014
HHI
608
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.019
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.2%
Top-5 markets
43.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
31.2
Active
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
30s
between trades
Avg Gap
7.2m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
10.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
35 min
Avg Trades / Session
91.1

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 30s — normal for humanCV 10.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock31 trades/day — high frequency0.4 markets/day — normal92% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
71.85
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.6%
Mid (20-55c)74.3%
High (>55c)10.1%

Sessions

#12
4/25/2026, 2:02:16 PM433 trades$312,538135 min
6/6/2026, 8:54:25 PM1 trades$225,0000 min
6/10/2026, 8:30:19 PM13 trades$225,0001 min
4/27/2026, 5:45:26 PM54 trades$223,1499 min
5/1/2026, 5:01:38 PM355 trades$155,943144 min
6/12/2026, 11:23:55 PM30 trades$128,8040 min
4/28/2026, 5:17:22 PM124 trades$114,16061 min
4/25/2026, 1:35:22 PM54 trades$99,9880 min
6/5/2026, 3:42:30 AM85 trades$77,62342 min
5/1/2026, 9:41:40 PM112 trades$72,29065 min
4/29/2026, 6:10:32 PM57 trades$56,8479 min
4/26/2026, 11:03:30 PM14 trades$55,4006 min
6/10/2026, 6:47:22 AM508 trades$54,638194 min
6/9/2026, 10:49:34 AM23 trades$48,24722 min
6/10/2026, 10:07:58 AM728 trades$46,229170 min
4/29/2026, 5:23:28 PM1 trades$46,0000 min
5/16/2026, 3:17:10 AM14 trades$45,0570 min
5/1/2026, 8:07:10 PM19 trades$39,62312 min
4/28/2026, 2:55:24 AM69 trades$36,4003 min
6/9/2026, 3:42:19 AM384 trades$34,322137 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-28
04-28
05-06
05-22
06-05
06-11
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
7.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 71.85/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L15.6 / M74.3 / H10.1