@pluviaefiscus
#2,448,486150xe775a3f5424a5d4819e5af57819ecb1523b601d2
~32d· 176 markets · 943 tradesVol: $27,9362026-08-02 05:29:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
38% (66/173)4.1/20
0.95x (win $1,156 / loss $1,216)1.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.6800/15
Sortino -0.9480/10
$-0.0157 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 730 (173 markets)8.8/10
10/31 profitable days (32%)0.6/10
Max DD 133% of peak ($241 / $182)0/10
Badges
2Contrarian
53% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Categories
3🌤️ WEATHER#276,756$-54Vol: $19,682
⚽ SPORTS#414,891$1Vol: $7,581
🎭 CULTURE#710,099$-15Vol: $608
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-70
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$27,936
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
176
total markets
Trades
518B / 425S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~32d
Periods
#2Week
$-29
Vol: $0
All Time
$-70
Vol: $27,936
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
38%
66W / 107L events
Realized PnL
$-70
Win Rate
38%
66W / 107L
Profit Factor
0.95x
Avg Win
$18
Avg Loss
$-14
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $374 (5.328630468861337% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$140
Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-07-29?$129
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?$105
Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$70
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 6?$44
Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-07-29?$43
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 19?$40
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 5?$36
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on March 6?$35
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 19?$33
Top Losers
Will Zirə FK win on 2026-07-30?$-182
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 5?$-71
Will Larne FC win on 2026-07-29?$-70
Will Mike Maignan win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-53
Will Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia end in a draw?$-50
Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. SK Iberia 1999 end in a draw?$-50
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 19?$-35
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on June 20?$-27
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 20?$-26
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on June 23?$-26
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.035
Sortino
-0.047
HHI
541
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.016
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.5%
Top-5 markets
39.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
6.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.57
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.0
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 85s — normal for humanCV 4.57 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal1.2 markets/day — normal55% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.37
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)18%
Mid (20-55c)35.3%
High (>55c)46.7%
Sessions
#127/29/2026, 3:38:08 PM96 trades$2,5588 min
3/4/2026, 11:32:45 PM1 trades$8050 min
7/29/2026, 4:12:09 PM18 trades$7696 min
3/4/2026, 1:39:33 PM1 trades$7000 min
7/30/2026, 4:43:50 PM5 trades$5680 min
7/4/2026, 10:28:05 PM39 trades$27039 min
7/13/2026, 11:07:02 PM51 trades$2318 min
7/5/2026, 8:38:16 PM119 trades$21939 min
7/30/2026, 4:18:53 PM5 trades$1960 min
7/5/2026, 2:27:01 AM18 trades$1711 min
6/18/2026, 9:06:41 AM8 trades$1530 min
7/29/2026, 3:58:38 PM8 trades$1317 min
3/5/2026, 11:15:09 PM1 trades$1280 min
3/6/2026, 10:49:13 PM6 trades$1268 min
3/5/2026, 11:09:17 PM1 trades$1060 min
7/14/2026, 6:38:32 PM2 trades$1000 min
7/30/2026, 4:05:24 PM7 trades$950 min
7/13/2026, 3:55:56 PM7 trades$772 min
6/17/2026, 3:09:03 AM9 trades$760 min
6/19/2026, 12:52:41 AM8 trades$760 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-04
06-12
06-21
06-28
07-07
07-14
07-30
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 146 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
68% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.37/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18 / M35.3 / H46.7