@bdefd
260xe848d3807fc18e162d222b9cb14f91a9a1d96220
~116d· 158 markets · 817 trades2026-08-02 06:25:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
52% (44/85)10.9/20
0.30x (win $686 / loss $2,311)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.4910/15
Sortino -2.4910/10
$-0.0043 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 345 (85 markets)10/10
30/61 profitable days (49%)4.8/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1,903 / $0)0/10
Badges
4Whale
$376,084 invested
High Roller
$2,395/day
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-2,058
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$376,085
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
158
total markets
Trades
412B / 405S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~116d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
52%
44W / 41L events
Realized PnL
$-2,058
Win Rate
52%
44W / 41L
Profit Factor
0.3x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-58
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $260 (0.1261216617354846% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-23?$131
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-07?$72
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$57
Pelicans vs. Kings$51
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$38
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?$35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$33
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$32
Will SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?$30
Pelicans vs. Suns$29
Top Losers
Magic vs. Raptors$-1,577
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)$-164
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?$-119
Knicks vs. Clippers$-86
Stars vs. Canucks$-84
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-01?$-57
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-37
Raptors vs. Bucks$-19
Pacers vs. Nets$-18
Bulls vs. Nets$-18
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.129
Sortino
-0.095
HHI
50
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.012
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4%
Top-5 markets
11.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
5.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0h
between trades
Avg Gap
5.2h
between trades
Night Trading
44%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.64
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 7241s — normal for humanCV 0.64 — diverse sizes (human-like)44% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 8:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.44
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)11.2%
Mid (20-55c)3.4%
High (>55c)85.4%
Sessions
#125/18/2026, 5:33:26 AM8 trades$4,0940 min
3/4/2026, 7:56:01 AM2 trades$3,0100 min
5/16/2026, 9:10:40 AM5 trades$2,7512 min
5/17/2026, 3:17:18 AM10 trades$2,7321 min
5/16/2026, 8:06:47 AM4 trades$2,7011 min
5/16/2026, 5:11:16 AM4 trades$2,6552 min
5/17/2026, 6:12:30 AM2 trades$2,6400 min
2/7/2026, 10:09:25 AM1 trades$2,1330 min
2/12/2026, 6:35:03 AM1 trades$2,1320 min
2/7/2026, 12:41:09 PM1 trades$2,1310 min
2/12/2026, 7:28:27 AM1 trades$2,1290 min
2/15/2026, 1:24:55 AM1 trades$2,1220 min
2/8/2026, 10:37:09 AM1 trades$2,1200 min
2/15/2026, 2:07:19 AM1 trades$2,1200 min
2/20/2026, 2:48:18 AM1 trades$2,1020 min
2/20/2026, 5:11:52 AM1 trades$2,1000 min
2/28/2026, 5:42:41 AM1 trades$2,0880 min
2/28/2026, 6:56:17 AM1 trades$2,0860 min
2/26/2026, 7:26:48 PM1 trades$2,0660 min
3/1/2026, 7:20:11 PM1 trades$2,0030 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-06
02-21
03-05
03-18
04-19
05-17
07-05
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.44/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.2 / M3.4 / H85.4