Kirk76

@Kirk76

#2,891,67411

0xe857c906ec3308ae8d6ba8f66c33c0f38c207b3b

~67d· 541 markets · 3363 tradesVol: $560,8222026-08-02 07:05:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

28% (151/538)0/20
0.86x (win $48,050 / loss $55,932)0.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.5450/15
Sortino -3.5060/10
$-0.0828 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 60 (538 markets)10/10
21/66 profitable days (32%)0.5/10
Max DD 3720% of peak ($8,099 / $218)0/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
71% entries < $0.55
Whale
$95,211 invested
High Roller
$1,120/day
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

2
SPORTS#1,814,029$-749Vol: $560,803
CRYPTO#244,778$9Vol: $19

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-740
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$560,822
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
541
total markets
Trades
996B / 2367S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~67d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
28%
151W / 387L events
Realized PnL
$-740
Win Rate
28%
151W / 387L
Profit Factor
0.86x
Avg Win
$318
Avg Loss
$-155

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,109 (10.959858897944288% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$3,368
HSBC Championships: Rinky Hijikata vs Jiri Lehecka$2,438
Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$2,303
Nottingham Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Zeynep Sonmez$1,808
HSBC Championships: Hamad Medjedovic vs Ugo Humbert$1,594
Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime$1,585
Nottingham Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Maria Sakkari$1,331
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli$1,157
HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Francisco Cerundolo$986
Nottingham Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Tatjana Maria$852

Top Losers

Pozoblanco: Tiago Pereira vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez$-1,800
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ugo Humbert$-1,621
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,154
Nottingham Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Talia Gibson$-1,046
Athens Open: Alycia Parks vs Maria Sakkari$-1,040
Halle Open: Raphael Collignon vs Mattia Bellucci$-996
Halle Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Daniel Altmaier$-860
Grass Court Championships: Madison Keys vs Karolina Muchova$-839
HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Botic van de Zandschulp$-800
Nottingham Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Emma Navarro$-786

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.132
Sortino
-0.185
HHI
65
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.083
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.7%
Top-5 markets
10.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
39.6
Active
Markets / Day
6.4
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
15.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.42
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.6

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 901s — normal for humanCV 1.42 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock40 trades/day — high frequency6.4 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.23
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.5%
Mid (20-55c)47.5%
High (>55c)29%

Sessions

#12
7/8/2026, 5:09:37 AM2 trades$5,0000 min
6/25/2026, 9:52:44 PM2 trades$3,6960 min
6/19/2026, 12:22:59 PM7 trades$3,6576 min
7/16/2026, 4:58:01 PM17 trades$2,7797 min
6/19/2026, 12:57:31 PM8 trades$2,6176 min
7/7/2026, 8:02:56 PM2 trades$2,5000 min
6/17/2026, 5:44:04 PM5 trades$2,3703 min
6/19/2026, 4:20:07 PM6 trades$2,3691 min
6/19/2026, 4:02:08 PM9 trades$2,3371 min
6/26/2026, 8:43:04 PM2 trades$2,2500 min
6/20/2026, 5:03:08 PM11 trades$2,1060 min
6/25/2026, 6:38:35 PM2 trades$2,0790 min
7/17/2026, 5:50:33 PM3 trades$2,0790 min
7/16/2026, 5:15:59 PM6 trades$2,0500 min
6/16/2026, 9:14:25 PM17 trades$1,6658 min
7/6/2026, 3:40:28 PM12 trades$1,6620 min
6/18/2026, 5:16:28 PM4 trades$1,6070 min
6/18/2026, 4:47:44 PM4 trades$1,5624 min
7/17/2026, 4:48:34 PM5 trades$1,5300 min
6/19/2026, 1:54:13 PM10 trades$1,5134 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
05-05
05-17
06-10
06-21
07-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 80 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
70.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.23/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L23.5 / M47.5 / H29