@asmile

#65,19975

0xe8a0bd271f6ec3779481ab05012f27aff4d74e39

~86d· 1337 markets · 5747 tradesVol: $339,6922026-08-02 07:35:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (748/1327)13.2/20
2.18x (win $3,174 / loss $1,456)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.67015/15
Sortino 15.58610/10
$+0.0391 per $1 invested2/10
HHI 84 (1327 markets)10/10
24/84 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 16% of peak ($300 / $1,833)10/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+1,463
Lottery Player
73% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
9% sells
Cool Head
Max DD 16%
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
93% maker orders

Categories

7
🌤️ WEATHER#1,197$1,504Vol: $326,020
🏛️ POLITICS#1,043,818$-3Vol: $6,613
₿ CRYPTO#445,355$1Vol: $6,490
⚽ SPORTS#987,322$-1Vol: $241
📢 MENTIONS#151,202$-34Vol: $200
🎭 CULTURE#598,228$-3Vol: $118
📈 ECONOMICS#337,389$-0Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,463
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$339,692
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1337
total markets
Trades
5230B / 517S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~86d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $168
Week
$-20
Vol: $168
Month
$-16
Vol: $2,296
All Time
$1,463
Vol: $339,692

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
748W / 579L events
Realized PnL
$1,463
Win Rate
56%
748W / 579L
Profit Factor
2.18x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,005 (0.6864985274723774% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 12?$560
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on March 26?$223
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on March 27?$222
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on March 27?$196
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on March 29?$140
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on March 22?$127
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C or higher on March 24?$104
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on March 27?$98
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on March 26?$96
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 13?$80

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 24?$-380
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on March 26?$-208
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?$-83
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?$-37
Will Trump say "Pipeline" or "Road" during Taoiseach events?$-34
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 9?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on March 21?$-20
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.191
Sortino
0.753
HHI
77
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.039
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.4%
Top-5 markets
5.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
41.3
Active
Markets / Day
9.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
22.4m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.8

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 235s — normal for humanCV 6.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock41 trades/day — high frequency9.6 markets/day — normal93% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.3
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)72.9%
Mid (20-55c)0.1%
High (>55c)27%

Sessions

#12
3/23/2026, 4:00:45 PM9 trades$3,7646 min
3/29/2026, 5:00:58 AM11 trades$3,4456 min
3/28/2026, 3:01:09 AM8 trades$2,6145 min
3/26/2026, 3:00:45 AM20 trades$2,4346 min
4/1/2026, 5:00:45 AM47 trades$2,2365 min
3/28/2026, 6:00:45 AM6 trades$1,9981 min
3/24/2026, 5:00:45 AM5 trades$1,9639 min
3/27/2026, 8:00:51 AM7 trades$1,8716 min
3/25/2026, 6:00:57 AM12 trades$1,8226 min
3/25/2026, 4:01:07 AM7 trades$1,6055 min
3/28/2026, 2:01:07 AM4 trades$1,6045 min
3/29/2026, 3:01:12 AM7 trades$1,6005 min
3/24/2026, 3:00:45 AM9 trades$1,51212 min
3/27/2026, 7:00:45 AM6 trades$1,3471 min
3/26/2026, 6:00:45 AM4 trades$1,3330 min
3/26/2026, 3:31:05 AM3 trades$1,3063 min
4/1/2026, 7:01:05 AM17 trades$1,2853 min
3/23/2026, 5:01:07 AM6 trades$1,2564 min
3/23/2026, 3:00:43 AM14 trades$1,2005 min
4/1/2026, 7:31:31 AM8 trades$1,1633 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-17
05-03
06-03
06-17
07-01
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 71 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
90% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.3/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L72.9 / M0.1 / H27