fraj0la

@fraj0la

#22,20264

0xe8b0982b27d9664754dea25103d013bfb4fecc4b

~125d· 358 markets · 1139 tradesVol: $237,022 @insiderreportbr2026-08-02 05:09:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

64
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

61% (217/357)15.4/20
1.17x (win $42,779 / loss $36,576)4.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.41315/15
Sortino 2.29310/10
$+0.0628 per $1 invested3.1/10
HHI 117 (357 markets)10/10
65/118 profitable days (55%)6.3/10
Max DD 81% of peak ($5,012 / $6,203)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 61%
Profitable
PnL $+5,894
Whale
$98,709 invested
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
SPORTS#8,126$5,813Vol: $235,130
🏛️ POLITICS#77,774$68Vol: $1,213
📈 ECONOMICS#32,228$16Vol: $403
CRYPTO#1,115,961$-8Vol: $132
🎭 CULTURE#157,223$1Vol: $100
💰 FINANCE#79,523$4Vol: $44

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,894
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$237,022
Total Redeem
$797
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
358
total markets
Trades
702B / 437S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~125d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
61%
217W / 140L events
Realized PnL
$5,894
Win Rate
61%
217W / 140L
Profit Factor
1.17x
Avg Win
$197
Avg Loss
$-284

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,440 (0.7533124997879322% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will France win on 2026-07-04?$1,581
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$1,444
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?$1,415
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$1,352
Will France win on 2026-07-09?$1,347
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?$1,326
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$1,279
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?$1,222
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$1,177
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)$956

Top Losers

Will England win on 2026-06-23?$-4,000
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$-3,949
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-2,002
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$-1,999
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$-1,000
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,000
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?$-786
Will Haiti be the furthest advancing CONCACAF nation at the World Cup?$-707
Will Brazil be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?$-651
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?$-500

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.074
Sortino
0.096
HHI
112
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.063
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.2%
Top-5 markets
16.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 236s — normal for humanCV 1.98 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal1.6 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.18
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.3%
Mid (20-55c)24.8%
High (>55c)65%

Sessions

#12
6/14/2026, 3:09:24 AM2 trades$6,3540 min
6/20/2026, 12:15:05 AM4 trades$4,4981 min
7/11/2026, 5:29:46 PM7 trades$3,2702 min
6/24/2026, 10:01:01 PM32 trades$2,5992 min
7/4/2026, 8:09:13 PM2 trades$2,4100 min
6/13/2026, 11:27:10 AM2 trades$2,4080 min
7/4/2026, 11:44:10 AM2 trades$2,3810 min
6/23/2026, 12:40:41 PM4 trades$2,3680 min
6/10/2026, 8:51:49 AM3 trades$2,2515 min
6/14/2026, 12:24:40 PM16 trades$2,00416 min
6/13/2026, 11:43:10 PM1 trades$2,0030 min
6/15/2026, 5:30:37 AM18 trades$2,00222 min
6/21/2026, 12:51:14 AM2 trades$2,0000 min
7/9/2026, 4:21:46 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
6/14/2026, 3:15:30 AM1 trades$1,9990 min
6/9/2026, 11:50:39 PM6 trades$1,7814 min
7/9/2026, 8:52:58 PM2 trades$1,6740 min
2/22/2026, 6:06:50 PM2 trades$1,6511 min
7/9/2026, 12:14:20 AM2 trades$1,6390 min
6/27/2026, 1:55:23 AM2 trades$1,5340 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-09
01-25
03-15
04-11
05-16
06-14
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 172 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.18/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.3 / M24.8 / H65