@Degenelon

#56,67348

0xe8bc14a75d6c4c6cf7a1bcb7a1eb0f7f9720ec51

~76d· 131 markets · 4446 tradesVol: $559,5012026-08-02 07:03:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

48
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (35/131)0/20
1.34x (win $18,792 / loss $14,062)6.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.95815/15
Sortino 5.07210/10
$+0.1254 per $1 invested6.3/10
HHI 449 (131 markets)10/10
20/71 profitable days (28%)0/10
Max DD 97% of peak ($5,352 / $5,515)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+1,789
Lottery Player
56% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
🎭 CULTURE#3,266$1,858Vol: $480,930
CRYPTO#200,802$15Vol: $71,340
SPORTS#1,654,473$-84Vol: $7,231

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,789
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$559,501
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
131
total markets
Trades
2050B / 2396S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~76d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
35W / 96L events
Realized PnL
$1,789
Win Rate
27%
35W / 96L
Profit Factor
1.34x
Avg Win
$537
Avg Loss
$-153

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,938 (3.8777510758397145% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$3,650
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1,953
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$1,335
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1,297
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?$1,262
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$1,121
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$1,108
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$1,069
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$964
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$725

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$-809
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$-799
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$-791
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$-529
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$-528
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$-524
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$-485
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$-456
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-452
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$-427

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.102
Sortino
0.322
HHI
188
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.125
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.9%
Top-5 markets
17.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
42.8
Active
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
53.2m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.1

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 243s — normal for humanCV 2.02 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock43 trades/day — high frequency1.3 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
33.94
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)55.9%
Mid (20-55c)14.5%
High (>55c)29.6%

Sessions

#12
6/3/2026, 4:58:45 PM2 trades$6,6670 min
6/2/2026, 6:04:42 PM2 trades$6,2500 min
6/2/2026, 4:15:15 PM2 trades$5,5560 min
6/1/2026, 7:43:16 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
7/8/2026, 9:55:37 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
4/28/2026, 12:52:26 AM12 trades$2,1370 min
6/19/2026, 1:02:38 AM49 trades$1,81812 min
5/14/2026, 9:16:07 AM4 trades$1,6770 min
5/4/2026, 6:46:36 PM13 trades$1,2755 min
6/24/2026, 7:27:34 PM7 trades$1,1490 min
5/18/2026, 8:38:28 PM19 trades$1,13710 min
4/5/2026, 4:35:33 PM14 trades$1,0742 min
6/8/2026, 4:48:03 PM6 trades$9731 min
6/2/2026, 1:45:51 AM4 trades$9260 min
4/25/2026, 6:27:28 AM21 trades$9091 min
4/25/2026, 6:24:48 PM39 trades$8080 min
4/24/2026, 2:47:52 PM16 trades$7957 min
5/22/2026, 1:14:11 PM16 trades$7915 min
5/3/2026, 9:09:36 AM25 trades$7636 min
5/20/2026, 2:30:46 PM18 trades$7380 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-06
04-29
05-10
05-21
06-08
06-21
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 30 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 33.94/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L55.9 / M14.5 / H29.6