autisem

@autisem

#73,65231

0xea41d1253bf603d7947da4659e85080dc2071c98

~428d· 867 markets · 7900 tradesVol: $2,271,0462026-08-02 06:32:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

31
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (391/818)8.9/20
1.02x (win $73,006 / loss $71,364)2.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.1192.2/15
Sortino 0.1931.9/10
$+0.0035 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 106 (818 markets)10/10
153/318 profitable days (48%)4.5/10
Max DD 679% of peak ($18,666 / $2,747)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+1,181
Contrarian
51% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 9.2 entries/market
Whale
$464,765 invested
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,594,250$-482Vol: $2,092,260
🎭 CULTURE#2,056$3,490Vol: $145,601
📈 ECONOMICS#6,046$334Vol: $15,166
📢 MENTIONS#175,067$-1,144Vol: $10,539
SPORTS#1,824,246$-971Vol: $6,972
💰 FINANCE#125,750$1Vol: $250
🌤️ WEATHER#268,191$-30Vol: $156
CRYPTO#1,230,361$-17Vol: $102

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,181
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,271,046
Total Redeem
$15,581
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
867
total markets
Trades
4155B / 3745S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~428d

Periods

#2
Today
$-181
Vol: $2,054
Week
$182
Vol: $2,054
Month
$-167
Vol: $2,282
All Time
$1,181
Vol: $2,271,046

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
391W / 427L events
Realized PnL
$1,181
Win Rate
48%
391W / 427L
Profit Factor
1.02x
Avg Win
$187
Avg Loss
$-171

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $12,651 (10.709813416409874% of PnL)

Top Winners

US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?$6,124
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$3,522
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$3,005
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$2,463
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?$2,418
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping by August 31?$2,080
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$1,921
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$1,728
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?$1,141
Houthi strike on Israel before August?$1,137

Top Losers

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$-4,305
Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?$-2,604
Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?$-2,583
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$-2,515
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?$-2,335
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-2,040
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$-1,760
Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?$-1,722
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$-1,524
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$-1,403

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.006
Sortino
0.008
HHI
91
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.004
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.2%
Top-5 markets
14.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.3
Active
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.9

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 784s — normal for humanCV 3.21 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active1.5 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.17
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)24.8%
Mid (20-55c)26.1%
High (>55c)49.1%

Sessions

#12
4/12/2026, 11:19:47 PM3 trades$19,4520 min
4/12/2026, 7:19:13 PM2 trades$14,8800 min
6/1/2026, 5:26:31 PM2 trades$10,0000 min
3/12/2026, 6:44:21 PM1 trades$9,9580 min
4/7/2026, 11:14:55 PM5 trades$9,2220 min
6/24/2025, 12:07:09 PM1 trades$8,1940 min
3/16/2026, 8:49:15 PM2 trades$7,8763 min
6/24/2025, 11:21:27 AM1 trades$7,6810 min
4/10/2026, 2:46:03 PM8 trades$7,2722 min
5/19/2026, 5:50:39 AM6 trades$5,8500 min
3/22/2026, 12:48:17 PM3 trades$5,2471 min
6/1/2026, 5:04:21 PM3 trades$5,1771 min
3/12/2026, 7:54:33 PM1 trades$5,1180 min
6/1/2026, 5:10:21 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
4/12/2026, 7:10:59 PM4 trades$4,8100 min
6/22/2026, 2:38:28 PM2 trades$4,5740 min
2/24/2026, 10:37:28 AM2 trades$4,1884 min
5/28/2026, 11:30:34 PM4 trades$4,0000 min
6/13/2025, 1:35:03 PM4 trades$3,9544 min
4/19/2026, 6:43:20 PM18 trades$3,8841 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-18
05-12
07-27
10-27
02-25
05-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 226 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.17/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L24.8 / M26.1 / H49.1