@EpicFury

#390,47542

0xeacf6268112f4ef50de045c0778426ca20183c55

~124d· 270 markets · 1284 tradesVol: $108,9872026-08-02 06:33:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

42
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (88/247)2.8/20
1.12x (win $6,627 / loss $5,905)4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.69112.9/15
Sortino 1.19410/10
$+0.0404 per $1 invested2/10
HHI 273 (247 markets)10/10
24/86 profitable days (28%)0/10
Max DD 70% of peak ($1,143 / $1,640)0.1/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+25
Lottery Player
40% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
74% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#26,428$524Vol: $65,189
CRYPTO#1,529,200$-194Vol: $18,334
🎭 CULTURE#57,350$15Vol: $10,087
📈 ECONOMICS#661,826$-119Vol: $6,555
SPORTS#1,732,081$-186Vol: $5,326
💰 FINANCE#27,673$44Vol: $1,756
📢 MENTIONS#157,284$-54Vol: $1,538
💻 TECH#217,240$-5Vol: $202

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$25
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$108,987
Total Redeem
$472
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
270
total markets
Trades
942B / 342S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~124d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $411
Week
$-216
Vol: $411
Month
$-47
Vol: $592
All Time
$25
Vol: $108,987

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
36%
88W / 159L events
Realized PnL
$25
Win Rate
36%
88W / 159L
Profit Factor
1.12x
Avg Win
$75
Avg Loss
$-39

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,514 (99.54495049504949% of PnL)

Top Winners

Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?$1,808
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$388
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$318
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$237
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?$225
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$195
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$187
James Comey arrested by April 30?$152
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?$140
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?$122

Top Losers

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?$-1,133
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$-245
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?$-196
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$-183
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-108
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$-100
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?$-88
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$-84
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$-80
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$-72

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.036
Sortino
0.057
HHI
201
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.044
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.1%
Top-5 markets
27.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
28.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.9h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.64
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1726s — normal for humanCV 2.64 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal1.7 markets/day — normal74% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.62
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)40.3%
Mid (20-55c)23.7%
High (>55c)36%

Sessions

#12
7/20/2026, 11:43:57 AM11 trades$3,1631 min
7/19/2026, 5:35:04 PM12 trades$2,8851 min
4/2/2026, 3:11:17 PM14 trades$1,1420 min
7/8/2026, 12:30:35 PM7 trades$1,0610 min
6/27/2026, 8:23:28 PM10 trades$1,0087 min
7/12/2026, 2:30:46 PM8 trades$8140 min
7/18/2026, 8:20:01 PM5 trades$7721 min
4/6/2026, 1:29:53 AM8 trades$7290 min
4/4/2026, 6:53:23 PM9 trades$7240 min
7/13/2026, 6:14:40 PM5 trades$7002 min
7/2/2026, 6:33:11 AM2 trades$6000 min
7/13/2026, 11:58:44 AM2 trades$6000 min
6/27/2026, 6:05:31 PM5 trades$4610 min
4/19/2026, 3:24:18 PM2 trades$4000 min
6/19/2026, 2:32:35 PM2 trades$4000 min
7/13/2026, 5:31:01 AM2 trades$4000 min
4/30/2026, 5:48:16 PM7 trades$3821 min
4/6/2026, 12:57:43 AM4 trades$3620 min
4/13/2026, 8:35:23 AM3 trades$3390 min
6/27/2026, 5:46:10 PM6 trades$3152 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-02
03-23
04-15
05-06
05-26
06-21
07-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 13 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.62/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L40.3 / M23.7 / H36