@southbets
#2,966,869410xec4e8e525969c4b9072eed0193e587b73876d9db
~245d· 572 markets · 2434 tradesVol: $154,7212026-08-02 06:29:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
41
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
76% (410/543)20/20
0.91x (win $4,172 / loss $4,599)1.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4740/15
Sortino -0.4980/10
$-0.0058 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 40 (543 markets)10/10
129/180 profitable days (72%)10/10
Max DD 79187% of peak ($1,940 / $2)0/10
Badges
5Sniper
Win rate 76%
Whale
$73,807 invested
Consistent
129/180 profitable days
Win Streak
18 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#1,558,851$-195Vol: $60,396
🎭 CULTURE#778,399$-95Vol: $51,751
💻 TECH#251,267$-166Vol: $16,200
💰 FINANCE#12,827$187Vol: $11,231
📢 MENTIONS#169,547$-226Vol: $6,757
📈 ECONOMICS#48,258$8Vol: $2,745
⚽ SPORTS#1,592,970$-50Vol: $1,216
₿ CRYPTO#1,160,714$-11Vol: $828
🌤️ WEATHER#266,378$-27Vol: $29
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,515
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$154,721
Total Redeem
$363
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
572
total markets
Trades
1490B / 944S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~245d
Periods
#2Today
$9
Vol: $0
Week
$33
Vol: $0
Month
$-10
Vol: $280
All Time
$-1,515
Vol: $154,721
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
76%
410W / 133L events
Realized PnL
$-1,515
Win Rate
76%
410W / 133L
Profit Factor
0.91x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-36
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $328 (0.21660351951840948% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$112
Iran leadership change by April 30?$108
Will anyone say "President" or "Trump" 25+ times during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?$108
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$74
Will White House post 120-139 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$69
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during October press conference?$69
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$64
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$64
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$59
John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by July 31?$56
Top Losers
Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by January 31?$-1,014
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$-397
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?$-226
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?$-200
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?$-200
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China by November 30?$-179
Military action against Iran ends on April 8, 2026?$-164
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-113
Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 21 2025?$-103
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for 10 seconds or more on October 30, 2025?$-86
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.025
Sortino
-0.015
HHI
35
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.006
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.6%
Top-5 markets
5.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
8.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.4
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 684s — normal for humanCV 1.16 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal1.9 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 22:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.1
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)4.7%
Mid (20-55c)4.4%
High (>55c)90.9%
Sessions
#1211/25/2025, 11:33:35 AM5 trades$9525 min
4/22/2026, 6:07:32 PM4 trades$7854 min
5/9/2026, 8:07:54 PM2 trades$7850 min
11/1/2025, 12:30:31 PM4 trades$7747 min
3/13/2026, 4:00:35 PM8 trades$74611 min
3/13/2026, 9:03:11 PM7 trades$7128 min
3/11/2026, 12:21:23 PM5 trades$6453 min
12/31/2025, 11:51:07 AM2 trades$6371 min
6/3/2026, 10:02:16 PM28 trades$6354 min
2/5/2026, 10:50:27 AM5 trades$61812 min
3/15/2026, 1:13:21 PM2 trades$6090 min
5/13/2026, 9:38:49 AM2 trades$5870 min
2/1/2026, 7:28:30 AM4 trades$5621 min
3/6/2026, 9:51:51 PM3 trades$5332 min
1/31/2026, 9:25:52 AM2 trades$5220 min
5/14/2026, 3:10:52 PM14 trades$5185 min
3/12/2026, 8:26:13 PM1 trades$4970 min
4/2/2026, 7:40:41 AM2 trades$4953 min
5/11/2026, 8:26:27 PM9 trades$4843 min
11/16/2025, 8:30:09 PM5 trades$47010 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-13
12-18
01-29
03-02
04-03
05-20
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 98 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.1/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.7 / M4.4 / H90.9