@Biver52

14

0xec829edacf53dad6fdfb89f752ca7b8004a26eaa

~198d· 6568 markets · 287873 trades2026-08-02 06:23:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

25% (1369/5500)0/20
0.90x (win $21,431 / loss $23,765)1.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.1100/15
Sortino -1.7510/10
$-0.0592 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 12 (5500 markets)10/10
72/179 profitable days (40%)2.6/10
Max DD 175% of peak ($5,692 / $3,260)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+6,371
Lottery Player
82% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
3% sells
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$6,371
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$39,428
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
6568
total markets
Trades
21027B / 7903S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~198d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
19%
1994W / 8597L events
Realized PnL
$6,371
Win Rate
19%
1994W / 8597L
Profit Factor
0.9x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,565 (0.40257492003402673% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1,153
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$872
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$540
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$475
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?$446
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$439
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$438
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?$348
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$333
Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?$311

Top Losers

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-305
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$-300
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$-283
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?$-281
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-208
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$-207
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?$-182
US government shutdown Saturday?$-181
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$-177
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-137

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.058
Sortino
-0.090
HHI
7
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.077
Kelly %
4.8%
Half-Kelly
2.4%
Top-1 market
0.4%
Top-5 markets
1.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
589.9
Very active
Markets / Day
13.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
10.0m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.62
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.0

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 290s — normal for humanCV 1.62 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock590 trades/day — automation13 markets/day — mass coverage10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.02
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)82.3%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)17.7%

Sessions

#12
1/20/2026, 6:53:46 AM29 trades$12346 min
6/15/2026, 1:39:31 PM6 trades$1129 min
5/9/2026, 11:47:35 AM5 trades$1125 min
4/21/2026, 8:44:56 PM9 trades$1108 min
6/7/2026, 9:45:49 PM8 trades$1094 min
6/20/2026, 11:24:47 AM6 trades$1085 min
5/8/2026, 10:55:39 PM3 trades$1082 min
4/14/2026, 9:16:23 AM4 trades$1078 min
5/12/2026, 3:37:10 AM4 trades$1063 min
5/8/2026, 5:15:31 PM5 trades$1068 min
5/12/2026, 2:50:30 PM5 trades$1066 min
5/8/2026, 3:25:58 PM3 trades$1045 min
6/8/2026, 4:07:24 PM7 trades$1046 min
5/15/2026, 9:20:48 PM4 trades$1038 min
5/14/2026, 10:53:06 PM4 trades$1035 min
5/22/2026, 4:41:37 PM3 trades$1030 min
6/22/2026, 4:47:58 AM7 trades$1012 min
6/21/2026, 5:09:59 PM3 trades$1014 min
5/1/2026, 1:45:56 PM3 trades$1013 min
6/9/2026, 12:52:03 PM4 trades$1015 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-31
02-08
03-09
04-07
05-07
06-05
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 38 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
2.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.02/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L82.3 / M0 / H17.7