@mohahaha

#3,070,66130

0xeed588bab0b0df73a9a6def7a59e512e9ede1a33

~28d· 35 markets · 2099 tradesVol: $4,545,6232026-08-02 07:04:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (21/35)15/20
0.38x (win $354,123 / loss $930,045)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.1750/15
Sortino -6.0970/10
$-0.1943 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 651 (35 markets)9.2/10
11/20 profitable days (55%)6.3/10
Max DD 462% of peak ($797,982 / $172,830)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 60%
DCA Master
Avg 60.0 entries/market
Whale
$2,964,269 invested
High Roller
$20,303/day

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#1,642,271$-87,497Vol: $3,940,578
SPORTS#1,881,894$-97,682Vol: $605,045

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-185,179
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,545,623
Total Redeem
$22,314
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
35
total markets
Trades
160B / 1939S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~28d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
21W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$-185,179
Win Rate
60%
21W / 14L
Profit Factor
0.38x
Avg Win
$16,863
Avg Loss
$-71,542

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $131,048 (0.7076789858915193% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$60,406
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$43,599
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$27,042
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?$23,754
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?$20,274
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$18,292
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?$18,007
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?$17,115
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$15,174
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?$14,498

Top Losers

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$-266,865
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$-244,305
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$-153,743
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$-122,976
Will England win on 2026-06-23?$-28,210
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)$-27,029
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$-14,227
Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score$-14,110
Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$-14,110
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score$-14,100

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.315
Sortino
-0.285
HHI
766
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.194
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.9%
Top-5 markets
45.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.4
Active
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.6h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
47
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
44.7

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 440s — normal for humanCV 1.82 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule14 trades/day — very active0.2 markets/day — normal4% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
59.97
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.8%
Mid (20-55c)9.4%
High (>55c)71.9%

Sessions

#12
6/13/2026, 6:45:24 AM49 trades$448,2560 min
6/15/2026, 3:38:54 AM17 trades$294,0540 min
6/6/2026, 7:49:13 AM147 trades$278,8813 min
5/9/2026, 5:07:47 AM105 trades$233,7922 min
5/17/2026, 8:55:32 AM72 trades$227,6750 min
6/4/2026, 6:49:43 AM150 trades$221,5951 min
6/11/2026, 8:25:36 AM89 trades$193,4021 min
6/10/2026, 8:41:18 AM126 trades$183,6041 min
5/16/2026, 7:11:10 AM17 trades$156,6400 min
6/18/2026, 2:07:13 AM4 trades$148,6780 min
4/25/2026, 7:49:14 PM81 trades$113,8691 min
5/16/2026, 10:51:18 PM107 trades$113,6430 min
5/5/2026, 8:37:42 PM34 trades$112,7110 min
5/7/2026, 8:11:14 AM72 trades$103,4100 min
6/10/2026, 8:50:52 AM47 trades$101,7750 min
5/19/2026, 8:14:08 PM72 trades$96,6520 min
6/10/2026, 10:47:12 PM57 trades$96,3640 min
6/13/2026, 9:33:33 PM87 trades$93,0500 min
6/14/2026, 2:32:43 AM94 trades$92,8030 min
4/24/2026, 8:40:00 PM136 trades$91,7593 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-31
04-23
05-16
06-06
06-14
06-19
06-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 35 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
92.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 59.97/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18.8 / M9.4 / H71.9