@wagmiser
350xef6278f3e13d4a516fbb14b0d7ad2649ce990179
~150d· 175 markets · 1480 trades2026-08-02 04:11:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
63% (90/143)16.5/20
0.83x (win $12,538 / loss $15,063)0.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.7700/15
Sortino -1.1360/10
$-0.0129 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 402 (143 markets)10/10
54/89 profitable days (61%)7.7/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($7,123 / $0)0/10
Badges
6Sniper
Win rate 63%
DCA Master
Avg 7.1 entries/market
Whale
$196,218 invested
Consistent
54/89 profitable days
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-6,994
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$196,218
Total Redeem
$1,842
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
175
total markets
Trades
882B / 598S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~150d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
63%
90W / 53L events
Realized PnL
$-6,994
Win Rate
63%
90W / 53L
Profit Factor
0.83x
Avg Win
$139
Avg Loss
$-327
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,121 (1.018086207586771% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4,206
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$2,030
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$884
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$617
Will Trump visit China by April 30?$547
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$512
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$380
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$380
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$223
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$172
Top Losers
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$-3,045
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?$-1,814
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$-1,120
Will Trump say "Censor" or "Censorship" during Elon interview?$-1,002
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-966
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?$-956
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?$-840
Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in June?$-739
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $110k first?$-400
US government shutdown Saturday?$-385
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.040
Sortino
-0.043
HHI
194
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.016
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.4%
Top-5 markets
21.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.14
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.0
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 222s — normal for humanCV 2.14 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal58% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 17:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.14
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)24.5%
Mid (20-55c)10.1%
High (>55c)65.4%
Sessions
#126/24/2026, 6:23:40 PM39 trades$15,92011 min
10/10/2025, 12:55:20 PM2 trades$8,5830 min
10/6/2025, 2:32:15 PM3 trades$7,1614 min
11/20/2025, 6:28:05 PM5 trades$5,4085 min
11/18/2025, 9:48:55 PM2 trades$5,3981 min
10/16/2025, 11:48:13 PM2 trades$4,8140 min
10/14/2025, 4:01:27 PM4 trades$4,6355 min
10/29/2025, 2:50:47 PM2 trades$4,5081 min
10/21/2025, 7:55:01 PM2 trades$4,5060 min
12/28/2025, 6:25:21 PM5 trades$4,4392 min
10/17/2025, 1:28:47 PM2 trades$4,3712 min
2/7/2026, 6:29:21 PM6 trades$4,3513 min
7/2/2026, 5:53:25 PM143 trades$4,0034 min
9/30/2025, 5:03:17 PM1 trades$3,9000 min
1/28/2026, 1:36:45 AM3 trades$3,7662 min
1/15/2026, 11:06:24 PM2 trades$3,6752 min
2/28/2026, 11:44:15 PM5 trades$3,6538 min
7/15/2026, 4:40:08 PM14 trades$3,5695 min
2/11/2026, 2:17:55 PM6 trades$3,4834 min
2/9/2026, 9:13:33 PM5 trades$3,4793 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-12
11-27
01-15
03-04
04-22
06-04
07-19
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.14/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L24.5 / M10.1 / H65.4