@hotornot

#15,22380

0xf114b578bc08e5641d4cbfbb52e6e97b038d6ecc

~157d· 1909 markets · 15649 tradesVol: $709,0202026-08-02 08:56:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

80
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (1078/1897)13.4/20
1.49x (win $20,248 / loss $13,590)8.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.59415/15
Sortino 8.05910/10
$+0.1025 per $1 invested5.1/10
HHI 289 (1897 markets)10/10
89/149 profitable days (60%)7.4/10
Max DD 15% of peak ($1,011 / $6,720)10/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+9,565
DCA Master
Avg 8.2 entries/market
Whale
$64,983 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 15%
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🌤️ WEATHER#194$9,750Vol: $446,674
🎭 CULTURE#15,359$171Vol: $209,504
🏛️ POLITICS#1,530,041$-113Vol: $21,655
💰 FINANCE#647,009$-395Vol: $16,184
SPORTS#212,712$25Vol: $7,398
💻 TECH#3,563$236Vol: $5,501
CRYPTO#1,395,121$-53Vol: $1,536
📈 ECONOMICS#41,627$10Vol: $569

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$9,631
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$709,020
Total Redeem
$8
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1909
total markets
Trades
7588B / 8061S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~157d

Periods

#2
Today
$61
Vol: $1,003
Week
$449
Vol: $1,003
Month
$51
Vol: $2,063
All Time
$9,631
Vol: $709,020

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
1078W / 819L events
Realized PnL
$9,565
Win Rate
57%
1078W / 819L
Profit Factor
1.49x
Avg Win
$19
Avg Loss
$-18

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $949 (0.09925634583839085% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 11?$360
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on May 2?$337
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 10?$252
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 6?$252
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 24?$198
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on April 29?$198
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$195
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 10?$188
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 20?$170
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 7?$149

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 4?$-1,111
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$-945
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 21?$-272
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 17?$-198
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on March 17?$-178
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on June 12?$-174
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 19?$-162
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 13?$-158
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 11?$-156
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 12?$-152

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.240
Sortino
0.294
HHI
57
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.103
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.9%
Top-5 markets
10.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
78.2
Very active
Markets / Day
9.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
31.7m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
23.4

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 191s — normal for humanCV 3.39 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock78 trades/day — mass trading9.5 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.22
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)28.1%
Mid (20-55c)11.2%
High (>55c)60.6%

Sessions

#12
5/6/2026, 7:01:10 PM57 trades$28,1480 min
5/2/2026, 5:58:00 AM4 trades$5,0000 min
5/12/2026, 7:34:58 PM125 trades$4,9510 min
6/4/2026, 12:31:36 PM25 trades$4,0301 min
6/21/2026, 4:04:50 PM11 trades$3,5770 min
5/5/2026, 12:32:04 AM7 trades$3,0000 min
7/24/2026, 4:44:18 PM7 trades$2,75910 min
5/12/2026, 5:54:52 PM17 trades$2,0071 min
4/26/2026, 12:21:22 PM7 trades$1,5660 min
6/6/2026, 12:02:04 PM31 trades$1,51813 min
5/29/2026, 4:54:30 PM7 trades$1,2090 min
5/3/2026, 7:38:04 PM7 trades$1,1100 min
5/2/2026, 8:55:50 PM29 trades$1,0970 min
7/24/2026, 4:33:48 PM7 trades$1,0306 min
5/7/2026, 3:22:17 PM8 trades$1,0000 min
6/28/2026, 8:37:26 AM4 trades$1,0000 min
6/27/2026, 12:33:56 AM6 trades$9640 min
4/2/2026, 8:23:05 AM30 trades$8179 min
6/14/2026, 5:54:34 PM6 trades$8116 min
2/15/2026, 10:33:31 PM14 trades$79811 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-14
02-22
03-18
04-29
06-07
07-02
07-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
90% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.22/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L28.1 / M11.2 / H60.6