@0xf15a1ec611A9155454C7619f1bD4b684fC054c09-1779572160084

#2,916,32996

0xf15a1ec611a9155454c7619f1bd4b684fc054c09

~13d· 13 markets · 507 tradesVol: $194,1662026-08-02 05:19:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

96
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

75% (9/12)20/20
5.01x (win $36,098 / loss $7,199)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.91315/15
Sortino 40.73310/10
$+0.8177 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1344 (12 markets)5.8/10
5/7 profitable days (71%)10/10
Max DD 20% of peak ($7,199 / $36,098)10/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 75%
Lottery Player
75% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 41.1 entries/market
Consistent
5/7 profitable days
High Roller
$1,178/day
Cool Head
Max DD 20%

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-954
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$194,166
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
13
total markets
Trades
250B / 257S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
75%
9W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$-954
Win Rate
75%
9W / 3L
Profit Factor
5.01x
Avg Win
$4,011
Avg Loss
$-2,400

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $26,783 (28.06770975246798% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$9,995
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$9,762
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7,026
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$4,795
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$1,556
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1,180
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$1,023
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$753
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$7

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-3,193
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$-2,022
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$-1,983

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.335
Sortino
7.185
HHI
1199
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.843
Kelly %
55.1%
Half-Kelly
27.6%
Top-1 market
23.2%
Top-5 markets
63.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
16.9
Active
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
57.0m
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.2

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 296s — normal for humanCV 2.16 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity17 trades/day — very active0.4 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
41.08
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)75.2%
Mid (20-55c)6%
High (>55c)18.8%

Sessions

#12
6/14/2026, 9:06:46 PM47 trades$10,11121 min
6/13/2026, 6:59:27 PM33 trades$8,7866 min
6/16/2026, 11:05:47 PM4 trades$7,1434 min
6/7/2026, 7:14:01 PM13 trades$5,7454 min
6/13/2026, 11:35:00 AM34 trades$4,5491 min
6/14/2026, 11:19:00 AM46 trades$3,9042 min
6/13/2026, 12:07:30 AM6 trades$3,8752 min
6/19/2026, 8:04:34 AM22 trades$3,5152 min
6/14/2026, 7:54:58 PM10 trades$3,2601 min
6/12/2026, 5:44:55 AM5 trades$3,1560 min
6/10/2026, 8:42:16 PM5 trades$2,6140 min
6/13/2026, 11:48:25 AM5 trades$2,4120 min
6/10/2026, 10:55:10 PM5 trades$2,3430 min
6/11/2026, 5:57:21 PM5 trades$2,1723 min
6/14/2026, 4:09:51 PM9 trades$2,0880 min
6/14/2026, 4:26:42 PM5 trades$1,8780 min
6/4/2026, 2:09:12 PM2 trades$1,6930 min
6/12/2026, 11:27:30 PM12 trades$1,6010 min
6/21/2026, 10:26:07 AM2 trades$1,6000 min
6/7/2026, 7:32:55 PM8 trades$1,3740 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-23
06-04
06-10
06-13
06-14
06-16
06-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 7 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 41.08/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L75.2 / M6 / H18.8