erevan

@erevan

#2,662,2526

0xf1f4c9d0b410671bc3d86732b7c841ac64e98e52

~38d· 48 markets · 305 tradesVol: $252,6122026-08-02 07:40:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

6
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

21% (10/48)0/20
0.55x (win $2,239 / loss $4,073)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.4800/15
Sortino -3.0040/10
$-0.2803 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1379 (48 markets)5.6/10
6/28 profitable days (21%)0/10
Max DD 254% of peak ($3,025 / $1,191)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
75% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
CRYPTO#1,595,206$-593Vol: $226,357
🏛️ POLITICS#1,330,536$-15Vol: $14,644
SPORTS#33,743$1,191Vol: $8,599
📈 ECONOMICS#170,279$0Vol: $329
💰 FINANCE#494,643$-2Vol: $183

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-159
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$252,612
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
48
total markets
Trades
157B / 148S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~38d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-85
Vol: $0
Month
$-3
Vol: $0
All Time
$-159
Vol: $252,612

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
21%
10W / 38L events
Realized PnL
$-159
Win Rate
21%
10W / 38L
Profit Factor
0.55x
Avg Win
$224
Avg Loss
$-107

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,198 (13.781101078505142% of PnL)

Top Winners

76ers vs. Suns$1,161
Timberwolves vs. Clippers$1,020
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in December?$17
Packers vs. Vikings$13
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?$10
Ethereum above $3,000 on November 15?$8
LoL: T1 Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stage$4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$3
Ethereum above $2,600 on October 25?$2
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1

Top Losers

Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?$-1,674
Stars vs. Blue Jackets$-926
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 26?$-534
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June?$-218
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?$-137
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?$-133
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?$-109
Dvalishvili vs. Nurmagomedov$-57
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 18?$-54
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 27?$-53

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.128
Sortino
-0.148
HHI
1584
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.280
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
27.7%
Top-5 markets
81.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.6

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 87s — normal for humanCV 3.80 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours21/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.35
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)75.2%
Mid (20-55c)4.5%
High (>55c)20.4%

Sessions

#12
7/1/2026, 12:12:41 PM2 trades$10,0000 min
6/24/2026, 2:43:23 PM4 trades$6,1000 min
6/25/2026, 2:51:20 AM18 trades$4,3864 min
6/26/2026, 3:17:01 PM51 trades$3,97818 min
6/24/2026, 2:26:55 PM12 trades$3,0144 min
3/12/2026, 7:39:47 AM1 trades$2,2200 min
6/26/2026, 1:49:15 PM12 trades$1,9050 min
6/25/2026, 10:36:40 AM8 trades$1,7920 min
6/23/2026, 4:14:49 PM3 trades$1,4120 min
3/11/2026, 5:57:29 PM1 trades$1,2000 min
7/31/2026, 3:10:14 AM4 trades$9860 min
2/7/2026, 6:34:53 PM1 trades$9500 min
1/22/2026, 3:50:12 PM1 trades$9260 min
6/25/2026, 11:24:46 AM8 trades$8400 min
6/24/2026, 5:13:23 PM1 trades$7200 min
7/13/2026, 4:12:59 AM8 trades$6860 min
7/11/2026, 3:20:10 PM4 trades$5370 min
7/11/2026, 3:39:07 PM3 trades$5000 min
6/24/2026, 10:12:28 AM47 trades$49331 min
7/29/2026, 6:26:51 PM12 trades$3030 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-13
11-05
12-07
01-22
03-12
06-25
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 141 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.35/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L75.2 / M4.5 / H20.4