@0xf257e1b8cd2ab5c55ee05c20c560202544441950

#3,033,50819

0xf257e1b8cd2ab5c55ee05c20c560202544441950

~36d· 843 markets · 9841 tradesVol: $1,170,2982026-08-02 07:05:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (297/713)5.8/20
0.95x (win $14,929 / loss $15,773)1.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.6880/15
Sortino -1.1380/10
$-0.0118 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 314 (713 markets)10/10
11/31 profitable days (35%)1.4/10
Max DD 700% of peak ($4,365 / $624)0/10

Badges

4
Whale
$71,426 invested
High Roller
$1,831/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🎭 CULTURE#814,209$-3,051Vol: $871,689
SPORTS#1,827,736$-1,036Vol: $238,615
🌤️ WEATHER#286,498$-121Vol: $24,581
🏛️ POLITICS#143,912$16Vol: $14,995
CRYPTO#1,446,119$-85Vol: $9,020
💰 FINANCE#92,773$3Vol: $8,040
📢 MENTIONS#153,755$-41Vol: $1,677
📈 ECONOMICS#545,924$-3Vol: $148
💻 TECH#175,720$-0Vol: $32

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,186
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,170,298
Total Redeem
$16,312
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
843
total markets
Trades
4740B / 5101S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~36d

Periods

#2
Today
$-90
Vol: $2,471
Week
$-2,405
Vol: $2,471
Month
$-273
Vol: $10,955
All Time
$-4,186
Vol: $1,170,298

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
42%
297W / 416L events
Realized PnL
$-4,113
Win Rate
42%
297W / 416L
Profit Factor
0.95x
Avg Win
$50
Avg Loss
$-43

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,719 (1.1474490676690632% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?$2,640
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$1,056
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$1,024
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$1,006
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$792
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$724
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?$702
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$563
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$398
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$358

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$-755
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$-579
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$-563
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$-537
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-488
Will White House post 160-179 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$-425
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$-370
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$-335
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$-325
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$-308

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.035
Sortino
-0.060
HHI
206
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.013
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.3%
Top-5 markets
25.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
252.3
Very active
Markets / Day
21.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
11.2m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
19 min
Avg Trades / Session
58.3

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 143s — normal for humanCV 1.65 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock252 trades/day — automation22 markets/day — mass coverage48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.53
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23%
Mid (20-55c)25.9%
High (>55c)51.1%

Sessions

#12
6/26/2026, 12:14:23 AM405 trades$49,365109 min
6/29/2026, 6:05:28 PM5 trades$10,7835 min
6/26/2026, 6:03:47 PM8 trades$7,0623 min
7/21/2026, 1:49:42 PM93 trades$3,94528 min
7/11/2026, 4:04:11 AM77 trades$3,71327 min
6/26/2026, 6:27:50 AM8 trades$3,2890 min
7/10/2026, 3:50:14 PM67 trades$3,09719 min
6/26/2026, 7:51:43 AM14 trades$2,9255 min
7/13/2026, 4:58:13 PM190 trades$2,88911 min
7/11/2026, 1:15:37 AM55 trades$2,8639 min
6/25/2026, 9:10:19 PM243 trades$2,27943 min
6/26/2026, 10:37:08 AM176 trades$2,16756 min
7/21/2026, 11:54:15 AM66 trades$2,03314 min
7/21/2026, 2:24:40 PM41 trades$2,01018 min
6/26/2026, 5:33:49 AM52 trades$1,60020 min
6/26/2026, 3:38:41 PM74 trades$1,53943 min
7/9/2026, 3:17:11 PM18 trades$1,4641 min
7/23/2026, 5:48:07 PM40 trades$1,41228 min
7/11/2026, 1:36:40 AM28 trades$1,3617 min
6/29/2026, 5:41:47 PM11 trades$1,3401 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-25
07-04
07-10
07-15
07-20
07-25
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 13 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.53/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L23 / M25.9 / H51.1