@33Lysander-Fothergill
#2,930,872660xf26e9b929e6a007f25366d5b5997f4f7e027cf82
~77d· 79 markets · 916 tradesVol: $181,6632026-08-02 08:01:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
58% (31/53)14.2/20
1.44x (win $13,618 / loss $9,463)8/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.81315/15
Sortino 2.20510/10
$+0.0564 per $1 invested2.8/10
HHI 603 (53 markets)9.5/10
21/37 profitable days (57%)6.7/10
Max DD 139% of peak ($5,773 / $4,157)0/10
Badges
5DCA Master
Avg 12.3 entries/market
Whale
$73,730 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
90% maker orders
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#1,600,482$-553Vol: $79,212
⚽ SPORTS#158,396$55Vol: $54,265
📈 ECONOMICS#664,293$-147Vol: $17,701
💰 FINANCE#639,459$-177Vol: $12,234
₿ CRYPTO#154,007$31Vol: $6,203
💻 TECH#251,203$-164Vol: $3,702
🎭 CULTURE#796,231$-227Vol: $2,105
📢 MENTIONS#148,045$-27Vol: $310
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,061
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$181,663
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
79
total markets
Trades
810B / 106S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~77d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-26
Vol: $0
Month
$8
Vol: $300
All Time
$-1,061
Vol: $181,663
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
58%
31W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$-1,060
Win Rate
58%
31W / 22L
Profit Factor
1.44x
Avg Win
$439
Avg Loss
$-451
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,403 (5.094343180982376% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2,342
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 9?$1,784
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$1,276
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1,162
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$1,087
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,058
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$971
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$923
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$694
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$291
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-5,773
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-1,032
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-782
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-519
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 8?$-264
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-244
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$-136
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$-130
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$-97
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-96
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.094
Sortino
0.077
HHI
368
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.071
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.2%
Top-5 markets
33.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
6.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.6
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 753s — normal for humanCV 2.56 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal90% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
12.32
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)3.3%
Mid (20-55c)11.1%
High (>55c)85.6%
Sessions
#124/21/2026, 3:45:24 AM2 trades$4,5560 min
5/7/2026, 3:44:57 PM11 trades$4,4770 min
4/27/2026, 7:29:38 AM5 trades$2,8110 min
4/22/2026, 5:37:40 AM14 trades$2,7760 min
4/30/2026, 7:01:12 AM2 trades$2,3930 min
5/6/2026, 7:51:58 AM3 trades$2,3930 min
5/15/2026, 6:17:55 AM2 trades$2,3120 min
5/7/2026, 10:54:41 AM3 trades$2,1941 min
5/26/2026, 9:12:07 AM1 trades$2,1070 min
4/13/2026, 3:52:51 AM13 trades$2,0910 min
4/15/2026, 3:25:58 AM2 trades$1,9720 min
6/3/2026, 3:34:46 AM1 trades$1,5390 min
5/26/2026, 1:02:07 PM1 trades$1,3520 min
6/12/2026, 7:55:45 AM2 trades$1,3200 min
3/25/2026, 8:09:49 AM1 trades$1,1800 min
3/19/2026, 2:12:35 PM1 trades$1,1600 min
3/14/2026, 3:26:13 AM2 trades$1,1401 min
3/4/2026, 7:11:11 AM2 trades$1,0270 min
6/1/2026, 12:10:36 PM1 trades$9540 min
6/18/2026, 4:55:38 AM1 trades$7830 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-12
05-07
06-11
06-24
07-06
07-15
07-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
11.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.32/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.3 / M11.1 / H85.6