@simpton
#67,977380xf27a9adeae472b4a36071fb2e130fec3736b7b4d
~56d· 108 markets · 1028 tradesVol: $210,4432026-08-02 15:43:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
59% (57/97)14.4/20
1.02x (win $12,568 / loss $12,346)2.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.1352.5/15
Sortino 0.1761.8/10
$+0.0031 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 421 (97 markets)10/10
24/42 profitable days (57%)6.8/10
Max DD 128% of peak ($4,196 / $3,273)0/10
Badges
5Profitable
PnL $+1,364
DCA Master
Avg 9.7 entries/market
Whale
$72,597 invested
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#6,261$5,052Vol: $72,881
📢 MENTIONS#175,837$-2,116Vol: $63,661
📈 ECONOMICS#2,049$1,894Vol: $21,158
⚽ SPORTS#31,489$1,324Vol: $18,453
💰 FINANCE#655,486$-2,297Vol: $17,579
💻 TECH#256,826$-1,105Vol: $6,295
🎭 CULTURE#810,919$-1,145Vol: $5,898
🌤️ WEATHER#292,380$-280Vol: $3,008
₿ CRYPTO#146,074$35Vol: $1,511
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,364
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$210,443
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
108
total markets
Trades
606B / 422S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~56d
Periods
#2Today
$-28
Vol: $2,555
Week
$1,281
Vol: $2,555
Month
$775
Vol: $2,561
All Time
$1,364
Vol: $210,443
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
59%
57W / 40L events
Realized PnL
$1,364
Win Rate
59%
57W / 40L
Profit Factor
1.02x
Avg Win
$220
Avg Loss
$-325
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,468 (2.543133473628638% of PnL)
Top Winners
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1,486
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1,229
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$753
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$688
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?$584
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.0B?$490
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$486
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$462
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?$439
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$350
Top Losers
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026$-2,554
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$-1,757
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$-1,525
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?$-1,015
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$-913
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-711
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$-694
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$-600
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$-554
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 30?$-337
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.007
Sortino
0.008
HHI
254
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.3%
Top-5 markets
25.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
9.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 211s — normal for humanCV 2.13 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
9.69
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)27.7%
Mid (20-55c)13%
High (>55c)59.2%
Sessions
#124/27/2026, 6:29:32 PM6 trades$5,3824 min
4/21/2026, 6:56:04 PM2 trades$4,0200 min
5/16/2026, 11:28:51 AM11 trades$3,9464 min
4/28/2026, 10:46:12 AM2 trades$2,8110 min
6/28/2026, 9:09:58 AM3 trades$1,8802 min
5/28/2026, 5:28:34 PM6 trades$1,8760 min
5/23/2026, 8:03:56 AM7 trades$1,8720 min
5/16/2026, 11:19:43 AM12 trades$1,8662 min
5/20/2026, 3:18:17 PM2 trades$1,8200 min
7/19/2026, 2:36:46 PM2 trades$1,8000 min
6/7/2026, 1:43:49 PM1 trades$1,5250 min
6/13/2026, 11:14:18 AM3 trades$1,4301 min
6/29/2026, 1:22:13 AM8 trades$1,4046 min
6/7/2026, 2:24:12 PM3 trades$1,3765 min
7/26/2026, 1:12:43 PM11 trades$1,3440 min
6/28/2026, 8:38:10 AM10 trades$1,3344 min
7/6/2026, 1:18:02 PM4 trades$1,2494 min
6/13/2026, 11:01:10 AM1 trades$1,2170 min
5/31/2026, 3:43:44 PM2 trades$1,1760 min
5/3/2026, 5:22:04 PM10 trades$1,1345 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-23
05-02
05-18
06-07
06-27
07-09
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 31 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.69/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L27.7 / M13 / H59.2