@0xf33dcbf022da9b5b925d7a426cb2aa102df0a537
150xf33dcbf022da9b5b925d7a426cb2aa102df0a537
~15d· 31 markets · 223 trades2026-08-02 06:40:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
35% (11/31)2.7/20
0.62x (win $18,950 / loss $30,344)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.1180/15
Sortino -4.3490/10
$-0.2045 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 896 (31 markets)8/10
7/15 profitable days (47%)4.2/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($16,309 / $0)0/10
Badges
2Contrarian
58% entries < $0.55
Whale
$55,721 invested
Categories
3⚽ SPORTS#1,874,093$-7,718Vol: $1,329,741
🏛️ POLITICS#1,633,385$-5,396Vol: $160,315
📈 ECONOMICS#679,916$-2,000Vol: $5,556
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-15,114
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$55,721
Total Redeem
$3,469
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
31
total markets
Trades
72B / 151S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
35%
11W / 20L events
Realized PnL
$-15,114
Win Rate
35%
11W / 20L
Profit Factor
0.62x
Avg Win
$1,723
Avg Loss
$-1,517
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,550 (0.5656953359318707% of PnL)
Top Winners
Spread: Norway (-1.5)$3,863
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5$2,357
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?$2,329
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 0.5$2,045
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$1,769
Norway vs. England: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5$1,691
France vs. England: O/U 7.5$1,474
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5$1,259
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$1,027
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?$637
Top Losers
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5$-11,836
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$-2,447
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?$-2,046
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-2,000
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5$-2,000
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$-1,600
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 2.5$-1,214
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?$-1,033
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$-1,000
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$-961
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.208
Sortino
-0.202
HHI
780
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.204
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.4%
Top-5 markets
53.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
51.3m
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
33
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.8
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 66s — normal for humanCV 1.00 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern13/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.19
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)18.1%
Mid (20-55c)40.3%
High (>55c)41.7%
Sessions
#123/4/2026, 9:27:57 AM10 trades$8,17710 min
6/16/2026, 11:41:58 PM11 trades$8,0891 min
5/5/2026, 7:20:08 PM16 trades$8,0651 min
5/5/2026, 8:05:00 PM30 trades$7,2122 min
6/16/2026, 4:29:46 AM2 trades$6,7240 min
5/5/2026, 7:45:30 PM19 trades$6,4852 min
6/16/2026, 9:05:08 PM4 trades$5,7630 min
6/16/2026, 9:25:43 PM2 trades$4,7110 min
3/23/2026, 8:22:07 PM4 trades$4,5366 min
7/9/2026, 3:40:41 PM12 trades$4,5241 min
7/12/2026, 12:39:26 AM7 trades$3,8731 min
3/14/2026, 11:12:25 PM1 trades$3,7520 min
7/11/2026, 8:54:41 PM9 trades$3,1745 min
7/9/2026, 9:33:52 PM13 trades$2,8202 min
7/11/2026, 11:03:11 PM2 trades$2,6880 min
3/4/2026, 9:00:39 AM3 trades$2,5000 min
7/11/2026, 10:15:28 PM8 trades$2,3260 min
7/11/2026, 11:18:35 PM7 trades$2,2501 min
3/23/2026, 8:34:37 PM2 trades$2,1000 min
6/26/2026, 8:57:31 PM5 trades$2,0700 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-04
03-12
03-23
05-08
06-26
07-09
07-11
07-18
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
67.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.19/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18.1 / M40.3 / H41.7