Semen-Demon

@Semen-Demon

#3,062,29518

0xf440d2ae2b1e4bbc0d1184186114d4b94a962747

~95d· 92 markets · 1120 tradesVol: $770,9682026-08-02 06:26:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (36/76)8.7/20
0.39x (win $23,337 / loss $59,108)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.5140/15
Sortino -4.4320/10
$-0.2867 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1357 (76 markets)5.7/10
21/46 profitable days (46%)3.9/10
Max DD 2556% of peak ($37,228 / $1,457)0/10

Badges

5
Lottery Player
43% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 10.7 entries/market
Whale
$124,778 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,638,475$-18,010Vol: $692,748
SPORTS#48,223$681Vol: $39,664
🎭 CULTURE#807,903$-722Vol: $25,505
📢 MENTIONS#159,451$-66Vol: $10,412
📈 ECONOMICS#617,783$-16Vol: $1,604

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-18,133
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$770,968
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
92
total markets
Trades
585B / 535S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~95d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$19
Vol: $0
Month
$-8
Vol: $0
All Time
$-18,133
Vol: $770,968

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
36W / 40L events
Realized PnL
$-18,133
Win Rate
47%
36W / 40L
Profit Factor
0.39x
Avg Win
$648
Avg Loss
$-1,598

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $20,354 (1.1224431609812482% of PnL)

Top Winners

2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104$16,965
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$2,876
Cardinals vs. Dolphins$513
Israel military response against Iran in October?$364
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$364
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$321
Texans vs. Jets$310
Will Kamala say "Trump" 20 or more times during DC rally on Oct 29?$294
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?$215
Broncos vs. Chiefs$160

Top Losers

2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154$-30,298
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-14,485
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$-3,670
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?$-2,487
Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?$-1,779
Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?$-1,509
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64$-1,053
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$-884
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Israel in July?$-627
Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?$-447

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.234
Sortino
-0.177
HHI
1236
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.314
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
29.1%
Top-5 markets
63.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.69
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 198s — normal for humanCV 6.69 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal47% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.71
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)43.4%
Mid (20-55c)30.9%
High (>55c)25.6%

Sessions

#12
11/6/2024, 12:09:09 AM24 trades$57,75914 min
6/1/2026, 3:22:54 PM13 trades$17,9201 min
6/2/2026, 8:08:15 AM12 trades$14,8260 min
10/18/2024, 8:53:05 PM7 trades$12,7588 min
10/15/2024, 6:28:52 PM1 trades$10,9970 min
6/3/2026, 7:30:24 PM5 trades$6,7643 min
5/28/2026, 5:34:30 PM8 trades$6,2245 min
5/28/2026, 1:30:10 PM9 trades$5,3740 min
11/5/2024, 11:59:59 PM1 trades$5,0730 min
10/27/2024, 2:34:23 PM2 trades$4,3200 min
10/18/2024, 10:32:43 PM4 trades$4,2553 min
10/31/2024, 7:43:22 PM10 trades$3,8548 min
6/2/2026, 2:14:54 PM5 trades$2,9700 min
11/1/2024, 6:22:02 AM22 trades$2,84612 min
11/6/2024, 1:15:31 AM10 trades$2,81912 min
5/19/2026, 10:31:25 PM6 trades$2,7271 min
10/27/2024, 7:24:58 PM7 trades$2,6732 min
10/23/2024, 4:34:49 PM3 trades$2,6003 min
6/5/2026, 2:18:49 AM52 trades$2,4763 min
10/19/2024, 4:09:55 AM1 trades$2,4210 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-18
10-31
11-14
05-15
09-24
11-14
06-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 614 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.71/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L43.4 / M30.9 / H25.6