@Carpenter

#247,17217

0xf80b4e20017e6b820ed5b00b7fd0c57cbcf790c5

~21d· 38 markets · 115 tradesVol: $19,1692026-08-02 07:53:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (13/31)6/20
0.06x (win $3 / loss $56)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.4600/15
Sortino -4.3490/10
$-0.0044 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 937 (31 markets)7.8/10
8/19 profitable days (42%)3/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($56 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Profitable
PnL $+95

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,203,243$-7Vol: $13,468
SPORTS#119,433$103Vol: $2,800
📈 ECONOMICS#483,495$-1Vol: $2,101
🎭 CULTURE#483,995$-1Vol: $640
CRYPTO#483,782$0Vol: $138
💰 FINANCE#289,916$0Vol: $21

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$95
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,169
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
38
total markets
Trades
59B / 56S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$95
Vol: $19,169

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
42%
13W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$95
Win Rate
42%
13W / 18L
Profit Factor
0.06x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3 (0.030958127820337914% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$3
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 September 22-28?$0
Will Solana dip to $20 March 16-22?$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on March 3?$0
Will Solana dip to $100 in August?$0
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $116,000 on November 6?$0
Will Solana dip to $80 in July?$0
Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in July?$0
Will the price of Solana be above $170 on November 25?$0

Top Losers

Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-53
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2025?$-1
Will Sundowns FC win the FIFA Club World Cup?$-0
Will Greens win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$-0
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$-0
Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?$-0
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$-0
Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$-0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?$-0
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.227
Sortino
-0.158
HHI
74
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.018
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.7%
Top-5 markets
16.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
20s
between trades
Avg Gap
27s
between trades
Night Trading
41%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
21
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 20s — normal for humanCV 1.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)41% night trades — never sleeps10/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.32
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.4%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)96.6%

Sessions

#12
7/17/2026, 7:16:21 AM18 trades$5,0382 min
7/8/2026, 3:19:58 AM16 trades$3,3125 min
7/13/2026, 11:53:25 AM8 trades$1,6972 min
5/23/2025, 5:46:07 PM7 trades$1,6012 min
6/3/2025, 1:57:50 AM7 trades$1,3531 min
5/12/2025, 6:09:40 AM6 trades$9633 min
7/21/2026, 11:08:45 AM7 trades$3932 min
1/30/2026, 3:21:06 AM3 trades$901 min
1/20/2026, 2:56:54 AM4 trades$882 min
3/2/2026, 11:28:15 AM4 trades$881 min
1/6/2026, 11:59:03 AM4 trades$841 min
4/20/2026, 1:58:12 AM10 trades$701 min
9/1/2025, 2:13:38 AM2 trades$601 min
11/5/2025, 8:03:05 AM5 trades$562 min
6/24/2026, 9:50:25 AM2 trades$440 min
8/18/2025, 1:46:22 AM5 trades$321 min
7/17/2025, 12:51:20 PM2 trades$221 min
3/16/2026, 6:52:55 AM1 trades$150 min
9/23/2025, 7:38:34 AM1 trades$100 min
11/24/2025, 12:32:49 PM1 trades$100 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-12
07-17
09-01
11-24
03-02
06-24
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.32/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.4 / M0 / H96.6