@thecomplicatedguy
#3,071,083110xf95846967c9093e4881506162077ec8f7049db13
~14d· 18 markets · 248 tradesVol: $1,526,7692026-08-02 19:01:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
33% (6/18)1.7/20
0.87x (win $93,177 / loss $107,281)0.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3140/15
Sortino -2.0780/10
$-0.0958 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 849 (18 markets)8.3/10
4/13 profitable days (31%)0.2/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($71,251 / $0)0/10
Badges
2Contrarian
78% entries < $0.55
Whale
$147,182 invested
Categories
3⚽ SPORTS#1,882,384$-151,844Vol: $1,222,352
🏛️ POLITICS#1,640,261$-39,988Vol: $134,181
📈 ECONOMICS#582$11,003Vol: $46,947
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-134,885
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,526,769
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
18
total markets
Trades
128B / 120S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d
Periods
#2Today
$21,539
Vol: $90,126
Week
$24,238
Vol: $90,126
Month
$-3,063
Vol: $118,799
All Time
$-134,885
Vol: $1,526,769
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
33%
6W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$-134,885
Win Rate
33%
6W / 12L
Profit Factor
0.87x
Avg Win
$15,530
Avg Loss
$-8,940
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $53,488 (0.39654835472024763% of PnL)
Top Winners
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group$21,018
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group$16,800
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group$15,670
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies$14,560
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$13,243
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$11,886
Top Losers
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5$-21,200
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$-19,950
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$-18,000
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$-16,490
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group$-12,397
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5$-5,400
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5$-4,277
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$-3,300
New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 3.5$-2,433
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$-1,889
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.066
Sortino
-0.162
HHI
1136
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.096
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
24.4%
Top-5 markets
62.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.0
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 134s — normal for humanCV 2.24 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 4:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
13.78
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)18%
Mid (20-55c)60.2%
High (>55c)21.9%
Sessions
#128/2/2026, 4:16:41 AM29 trades$23,6911 min
7/12/2026, 12:55:14 AM2 trades$20,0000 min
7/28/2026, 8:52:19 PM2 trades$20,0000 min
1/12/2026, 3:42:10 AM6 trades$19,9506 min
7/27/2026, 11:40:21 AM6 trades$18,6590 min
7/19/2026, 6:28:03 PM7 trades$13,6080 min
7/24/2026, 10:09:39 PM2 trades$13,0000 min
7/28/2026, 12:00:39 AM2 trades$10,7851 min
7/30/2026, 2:50:33 AM16 trades$10,4840 min
7/30/2026, 10:15:50 PM7 trades$9,9730 min
7/11/2026, 10:53:52 PM10 trades$9,7630 min
7/27/2026, 11:47:31 AM1 trades$8,0000 min
7/11/2026, 9:53:47 PM7 trades$6,5430 min
7/11/2026, 11:29:59 PM25 trades$5,8340 min
7/6/2026, 8:09:58 PM2 trades$5,4000 min
1/12/2026, 2:00:36 PM17 trades$4,14932 min
1/13/2026, 9:48:40 PM1 trades$3,9770 min
7/31/2026, 4:53:02 PM10 trades$3,5860 min
7/27/2026, 2:54:36 PM1 trades$3,5850 min
1/14/2026, 10:47:58 AM6 trades$3,3007 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-12
01-14
07-09
07-12
07-24
07-30
08-02
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.78/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L18 / M60.2 / H21.9