@0xfac10515b76afe247afd293e8967075843332d57
260xfac10515b76afe247afd293e8967075843332d57
~38d· 33 markets · 133 trades2026-08-02 06:39:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
55% (16/29)12.6/20
0.70x (win $3,049 / loss $4,337)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.2190/15
Sortino -2.3800/10
$-0.0590 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1066 (29 markets)7.2/10
12/22 profitable days (55%)6.1/10
Max DD 213% of peak ($2,483 / $1,167)0/10
Badges
2Profitable
PnL $+378
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Overview
#1Net PnL
$378
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,833
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
33
total markets
Trades
48B / 85S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~38d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
55%
16W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$378
Win Rate
55%
16W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.7x
Avg Win
$191
Avg Loss
$-361
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,650 (4.360699936561641% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$781
Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$444
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs$425
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$384
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$269
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$205
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$150
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels$140
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$107
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$99
Top Losers
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,214
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,117
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?$-698
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins$-660
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$-413
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$-175
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$-46
Will Solana dip to $60 in March?$-5
Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025–26 La Liga?$-4
Will Rodrigo Rivera win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?$-3
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.114
Sortino
-0.088
HHI
515
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.077
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.4%
Top-5 markets
35.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
44s
between trades
Avg Gap
6.3h
between trades
Night Trading
47%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
43
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 44s — normal for humanCV 1.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)47% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 8:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.14
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)6.2%
Mid (20-55c)14.6%
High (>55c)79.2%
Sessions
#1211/7/2025, 12:07:21 AM1 trades$4,0280 min
11/8/2025, 3:26:37 PM1 trades$4,0240 min
11/9/2025, 3:33:05 PM1 trades$3,6140 min
11/9/2025, 10:36:25 PM1 trades$3,6100 min
5/22/2026, 8:44:22 AM28 trades$3,2460 min
6/14/2026, 12:22:27 AM13 trades$1,1620 min
6/27/2026, 8:10:19 PM7 trades$1,0730 min
3/24/2026, 5:01:39 AM3 trades$1,0281 min
6/8/2026, 12:02:00 AM2 trades$9600 min
6/13/2026, 12:07:07 AM2 trades$8800 min
11/13/2025, 9:59:36 PM1 trades$7880 min
5/16/2026, 9:01:55 PM3 trades$7700 min
6/30/2026, 8:22:37 PM5 trades$7440 min
6/11/2026, 4:22:39 AM2 trades$7440 min
3/21/2026, 4:06:07 AM1 trades$7370 min
3/29/2026, 7:07:40 PM1 trades$6890 min
6/14/2026, 5:07:33 PM2 trades$6600 min
5/7/2026, 3:06:21 AM3 trades$6540 min
6/9/2026, 4:03:33 AM3 trades$6000 min
6/8/2026, 5:22:24 PM2 trades$5240 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-08
02-02
03-24
03-29
05-22
06-11
06-20
07-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 19 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.14/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.2 / M14.6 / H79.2