@0xFB157E2c71167D2F13fDc114C2733d56d1FA1038-1772182812730
#2,897,524300xfb157e2c71167d2f13fdc114c2733d56d1fa1038
~38d· 37 markets · 258 tradesVol: $25,9402026-08-02 06:36:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
61% (20/33)15.3/20
0.64x (win $2,600 / loss $4,067)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6170/15
Sortino -1.6620/10
$-0.1121 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 821 (33 markets)8.4/10
13/24 profitable days (54%)6/10
Max DD 512% of peak ($3,520 / $687)0/10
Badges
1Sniper
Win rate 61%
Categories
4🏛️ POLITICS#1,613,155$-1,007Vol: $22,766
💰 FINANCE#12,014$209Vol: $1,363
🎭 CULTURE#35,971$37Vol: $628
📈 ECONOMICS#23,077$31Vol: $417
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-784
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$25,940
Total Redeem
$98
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
37
total markets
Trades
80B / 178S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~38d
Periods
#2Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-784
Vol: $25,940
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
61%
20W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-784
Win Rate
61%
20W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.64x
Avg Win
$130
Avg Loss
$-370
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,158 (1.4770333341834783% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$508
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$362
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$288
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?$224
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$213
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$169
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$157
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$125
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$119
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$117
Top Losers
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-3,438
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?$-281
Will Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$-226
Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?$-44
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$-30
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?$-16
Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?$-9
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?$-9
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$-8
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?$-5
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.083
Sortino
-0.054
HHI
967
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.124
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
26.3%
Top-5 markets
51.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
27.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1649s — normal for humanCV 1.82 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours19/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 5:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.82
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)5%
Mid (20-55c)15%
High (>55c)80%
Sessions
#124/6/2026, 5:44:09 PM2 trades$3,4380 min
3/29/2026, 6:46:20 AM2 trades$1,4510 min
6/8/2026, 12:01:42 PM20 trades$1,3871 min
3/22/2026, 7:39:39 AM1 trades$1,3870 min
3/24/2026, 7:26:39 AM4 trades$1,3715 min
5/31/2026, 8:58:53 AM17 trades$1,2545 min
3/30/2026, 10:22:44 AM1 trades$9500 min
3/18/2026, 8:16:37 AM1 trades$9220 min
4/3/2026, 11:23:35 AM2 trades$8440 min
5/28/2026, 5:37:15 AM4 trades$6230 min
5/7/2026, 5:40:40 AM5 trades$6190 min
6/7/2026, 1:04:19 PM11 trades$5753 min
6/7/2026, 1:13:24 PM2 trades$5040 min
4/29/2026, 5:33:40 AM16 trades$4932 min
4/24/2026, 9:05:02 AM3 trades$4350 min
5/27/2026, 6:09:30 AM6 trades$3980 min
5/28/2026, 6:04:44 AM3 trades$3930 min
5/31/2026, 7:22:25 AM9 trades$3050 min
6/8/2026, 7:27:39 AM10 trades$2010 min
3/23/2026, 2:25:17 PM1 trades$2000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-28
03-05
03-24
04-06
05-31
06-21
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 26 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
69% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.82/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5 / M15 / H80