AML

@AML

#3,071,11713

0xfd22b8843ae03a33a8a4c5e39ef1e5ff33ebad91

~70d· 49 markets · 13068 tradesVol: $15,828,1942026-08-02 05:17:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (18/45)5/20
0.94x (win $2,069,426 / loss $2,209,652)1.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.3370/15
Sortino -0.4610/10
$-0.0273 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1744 (45 markets)3.8/10
12/29 profitable days (41%)2.8/10
Max DD 1006% of peak ($1,252,322 / $124,546)0/10

Badges

5
Contrarian
69% entries < $0.55
Whale
$5,131,107 invested
High Roller
$10,493/day
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
93% maker orders

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#1,642,698$-565,080Vol: $8,109,984
SPORTS#10,755$4,204Vol: $7,134,050
🎭 CULTURE#816,512$-43,942Vol: $584,159

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-604,817
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,828,194
Total Redeem
$104,546
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
49
total markets
Trades
11663B / 1405S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~70d

Periods

#2
Week
$778
Vol: $0
Month
$-585
Vol: $275
All Time
$-604,817
Vol: $15,828,194

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
18W / 27L events
Realized PnL
$-604,817
Win Rate
40%
18W / 27L
Profit Factor
0.94x
Avg Win
$114,968
Avg Loss
$-84,987

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,423,586 (2.35374634924823% of PnL)

Top Winners

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$878,555
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$301,980
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$243,052
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$242,552
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)$129,532
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$50,030
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$42,710
UFC 327: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque (Middleweight, Early Prelims)$38,950
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. $28,397
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Bahamondes$27,807

Top Losers

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$-1,018,489
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$-229,159
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev$-200,130
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$-128,305
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-100,500
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-81,923
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-74,204
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-71,839
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$-49,859
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)$-40,376

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.017
Sortino
-0.020
HHI
1322
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.028
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
27.1%
Top-5 markets
66.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
26.7
Active
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
46s
between trades
Avg Gap
6.8m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
11.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
26 min
Avg Trades / Session
72.9

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 46s — normal for humanCV 11.38 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock27 trades/day — high frequency0.1 markets/day — normal93% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
286.69
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.2%
Mid (20-55c)58.1%
High (>55c)30.6%

Sessions

#12
3/30/2026, 4:55:16 AM1 trades$821,2040 min
3/4/2026, 8:01:19 AM4 trades$400,0000 min
3/2/2026, 11:12:25 AM3 trades$385,8560 min
6/15/2026, 4:24:31 AM25 trades$349,9865 min
4/23/2026, 4:45:56 AM83 trades$341,5480 min
3/2/2026, 10:20:09 AM31 trades$270,3509 min
4/9/2026, 10:53:13 AM950 trades$233,686519 min
3/30/2026, 1:29:00 PM28 trades$227,27711 min
7/18/2026, 11:25:04 PM17 trades$202,8630 min
6/15/2026, 4:07:13 AM3 trades$150,0000 min
4/4/2026, 6:40:19 AM82 trades$142,2103 min
3/5/2026, 7:06:31 AM2 trades$127,1760 min
7/14/2026, 1:12:43 PM24 trades$126,7036 min
3/29/2026, 12:01:32 PM2 trades$125,1810 min
3/4/2026, 10:59:29 AM11 trades$105,42713 min
8/16/2025, 10:33:46 AM1 trades$100,0000 min
4/1/2026, 6:52:59 PM299 trades$95,88315 min
6/15/2026, 1:08:07 AM47 trades$86,49011 min
7/1/2026, 6:16:40 AM40 trades$84,6484 min
6/14/2026, 10:33:15 AM35 trades$82,0820 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-12
06-21
03-01
03-29
04-23
06-14
07-08
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
10.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 286.69/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L11.2 / M58.1 / H30.6