@0xfd47bcd58052e682c64853ae77c15b36d200c395
200xfd47bcd58052e682c64853ae77c15b36d200c395
~27d· 992 markets · 4237 trades2026-08-02 07:39:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
47% (457/970)8.6/20
0.78x (win $3,211 / loss $4,123)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.7290/15
Sortino -7.2650/10
$-0.0781 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 455 (970 markets)10/10
9/24 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 1971% of peak ($1,017 / $52)0/10
Badges
3Contrarian
54% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-580
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,668
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
992
total markets
Trades
1930B / 2307S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
47%
457W / 513L events
Realized PnL
$-580
Win Rate
47%
457W / 513L
Profit Factor
0.78x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-8
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $437 (0.7536256876304126% of PnL)
Top Winners
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$182
Mexico to win the second half?$128
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$127
BNB Up or Down - June 7, 2PM ET$94
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$88
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 12AM ET$85
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$72
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$72
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$45
Will there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?$45
Top Losers
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$-538
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$-200
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$-200
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-143
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$-48
Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 34%-36%?$-47
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$-42
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?$-41
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?$-41
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?$-40
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.396
Sortino
-0.360
HHI
685
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.099
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
23.4%
Top-5 markets
40.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
103.3
Very active
Markets / Day
24.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
16.8m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.52
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
12 min
Avg Trades / Session
44.8
Bot Detection
#670
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 87s — normal for humanCV 3.52 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock103 trades/day — automation24 markets/day — mass coverage46% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 22:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.16
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)12.1%
Mid (20-55c)41.9%
High (>55c)46%
Sessions
#126/12/2026, 1:17:55 PM14 trades$1,2227 min
6/7/2026, 6:58:19 PM273 trades$68854 min
6/7/2026, 4:53:16 AM111 trades$62528 min
6/7/2026, 9:46:51 PM384 trades$60879 min
6/25/2026, 11:18:59 PM31 trades$5862 min
6/12/2026, 1:55:52 PM14 trades$5834 min
6/7/2026, 3:55:46 AM141 trades$56352 min
6/24/2026, 10:45:04 PM10 trades$5432 min
6/23/2026, 1:37:32 AM3 trades$5150 min
6/21/2026, 10:57:52 PM2 trades$5000 min
6/12/2026, 1:35:45 PM14 trades$4580 min
6/12/2026, 3:23:25 AM12 trades$4508 min
6/7/2026, 11:46:52 AM105 trades$42534 min
6/12/2026, 4:16:00 AM13 trades$3916 min
6/7/2026, 6:23:21 AM110 trades$37938 min
6/12/2026, 2:03:01 AM29 trades$34713 min
6/22/2026, 11:00:58 PM21 trades$3311 min
6/7/2026, 6:28:28 PM100 trades$33114 min
6/12/2026, 5:35:46 AM3 trades$3220 min
6/7/2026, 7:40:49 AM85 trades$31831 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-03
06-07
06-12
06-23
07-06
07-10
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 34 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.16/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.1 / M41.9 / H46