@0xfd5b2dc620fc200fa1f181c7840286361a7ad430

#2,665,08662

0xfd5b2dc620fc200fa1f181c7840286361a7ad430

~7d· 20 markets · 50 tradesVol: $3,7502026-08-02 07:47:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

62
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (10/20)10/20
1.29x (win $500 / loss $386)6.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.84715/15
Sortino 9.49310/10
$+0.1439 per $1 invested7.2/10
HHI 950 (20 markets)7.7/10
3/7 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 55% of peak ($140 / $254)3/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
90% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

3
CRYPTO#1,501,592$-137Vol: $3,097
🏛️ POLITICS#1,271,261$-10Vol: $503
📢 MENTIONS#136,365$-15Vol: $151

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-162
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,750
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
20
total markets
Trades
29B / 21S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~7d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
10W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-162
Win Rate
50%
10W / 10L
Profit Factor
1.29x
Avg Win
$50
Avg Loss
$-39

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $369 (2.282677214016439% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 20?$263
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4PM ET$64
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4PM ET$43
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3PM ET$35
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7AM ET$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5PM ET$19
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 2PM ET$16
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10PM ET$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7PM ET$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3PM ET$8

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6PM ET$-127
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1PM ET$-91
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9PM ET$-36
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5PM ET$-34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12PM ET$-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3PM ET$-23
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$-18
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6PM ET$-8
Will Powell say "Food" or "Energy" 3+ times during March press conference?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.186
Sortino
0.978
HHI
759
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.144
Kelly %
9.6%
Half-Kelly
4.8%
Top-1 market
13.4%
Top-5 markets
51.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
18.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.87
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
33
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1128s — normal for humanCV 0.87 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours12/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.5
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20.7%
Mid (20-55c)69%
High (>55c)10.3%

Sessions

#12
6/19/2026, 1:00:20 AM5 trades$4681 min
3/31/2026, 8:50:55 PM2 trades$1280 min
3/31/2026, 9:57:41 PM5 trades$1270 min
3/19/2026, 2:23:47 AM1 trades$1200 min
3/19/2026, 1:58:35 AM1 trades$1060 min
3/20/2026, 5:09:59 PM1 trades$910 min
3/18/2026, 10:10:05 PM2 trades$762 min
3/18/2026, 9:36:09 PM2 trades$700 min
3/31/2026, 7:17:57 PM3 trades$670 min
3/18/2026, 8:23:05 PM2 trades$652 min
3/18/2026, 11:39:27 PM2 trades$651 min
3/18/2026, 8:52:09 PM1 trades$620 min
3/18/2026, 7:27:31 PM2 trades$572 min
3/19/2026, 11:43:53 AM1 trades$530 min
3/20/2026, 2:43:19 PM1 trades$500 min
3/19/2026, 1:39:47 AM1 trades$360 min
3/18/2026, 9:59:19 PM1 trades$350 min
3/30/2026, 6:29:27 PM1 trades$350 min
3/30/2026, 7:59:27 PM1 trades$340 min
3/18/2026, 10:53:31 PM1 trades$330 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-13
03-18
03-19
03-20
03-30
03-31
06-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 91 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.5/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L20.7 / M69 / H10.3