@badluckeveryday

#44,23390

0xfd9b5aceb381ab40b8a34a87bc5f2db5239f6eea

~121d· 233 markets · 855 tradesVol: $1,275,2902026-08-02 07:00:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

90
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

84% (195/233)20/20
14.32x (win $6,780 / loss $474)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.21915/15
Sortino 56.74010/10
$+0.0079 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 90 (233 markets)10/10
101/112 profitable days (90%)10/10
Max DD 3% of peak ($184 / $6,307)10/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 84%
Profitable
PnL $+2,459
Whale
$803,206 invested
Consistent
101/112 profitable days
High Roller
$4,016/day
Cool Head
Max DD 3%
Win Streak
22 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

6
CRYPTO#17,042$2,545Vol: $1,246,624
SPORTS#1,683,527$-105Vol: $16,721
🎭 CULTURE#72,247$9Vol: $8,377
🏛️ POLITICS#178,525$9Vol: $3,297
💰 FINANCE#420,824$-0Vol: $204
📈 ECONOMICS#237,243$0Vol: $40

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,459
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,275,290
Total Redeem
$227,914
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
233
total markets
Trades
387B / 468S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~121d

Periods

#2
Today
$17
Vol: $0
Week
$10
Vol: $0
Month
$18
Vol: $8,842
All Time
$2,459
Vol: $1,275,290

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
84%
195W / 38L events
Realized PnL
$2,459
Win Rate
84%
195W / 38L
Profit Factor
14.32x
Avg Win
$35
Avg Loss
$-24

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,357 (2.178006830934374% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$5,155
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?$144
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?$57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 2?$41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 26?$36
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?$32
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 5?$32
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 2?$29
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 8-14?$29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 4?$24

Top Losers

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?$-190
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?$-44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 20?$-40
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$-28
Raptors vs. Thunder$-20
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)$-20
Pacers vs. Thunder$-20
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-24?$-20
Pelicans vs. Spurs$-20
Warriors vs. Timberwolves$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.116
Sortino
0.949
HHI
86
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.008
Kelly %
49.8%
Half-Kelly
24.9%
Top-1 market
1.7%
Top-5 markets
7.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
16.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.2h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.40
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.7

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 992s — normal for humanCV 1.39 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal1.2 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.67
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.3%
Mid (20-55c)1.6%
High (>55c)97.2%

Sessions

#12
5/1/2026, 1:16:50 PM9 trades$22,8930 min
3/13/2026, 9:24:55 AM2 trades$17,0741 min
5/15/2026, 9:14:34 PM14 trades$16,3970 min
6/30/2026, 11:07:31 AM10 trades$16,2951 min
4/30/2026, 8:48:32 PM9 trades$14,2904 min
4/26/2026, 7:26:26 PM11 trades$13,4650 min
5/10/2026, 4:25:50 AM14 trades$11,8690 min
5/14/2026, 4:15:17 AM47 trades$11,3960 min
1/15/2026, 11:19:48 AM3 trades$11,3215 min
4/2/2026, 7:21:51 PM12 trades$10,9100 min
2/11/2026, 6:26:55 AM2 trades$10,4061 min
2/9/2026, 12:40:17 PM2 trades$10,3744 min
1/18/2026, 12:11:44 PM2 trades$10,3560 min
2/1/2026, 9:45:14 PM2 trades$10,2961 min
3/6/2026, 7:32:25 AM2 trades$10,2811 min
4/23/2026, 8:29:04 PM12 trades$10,1740 min
4/4/2026, 7:19:43 PM24 trades$10,1590 min
4/28/2026, 9:34:58 PM4 trades$10,0240 min
5/7/2026, 6:14:53 PM11 trades$9,7950 min
5/5/2026, 9:00:40 PM12 trades$9,4672 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-13
02-01
02-23
03-18
04-25
05-18
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.67/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.3 / M1.6 / H97.2