@kman1000
#3,063,001160xfdb5049c3fc1ecf35b77ef1732c9404157b96be1
~19d· 14 markets · 278 tradesVol: $221,7212026-08-02 04:07:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
46% (6/13)8.1/20
0.19x (win $10,782 / loss $56,988)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.3490/15
Sortino -7.8810/10
$-0.4691 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1400 (13 markets)5.5/10
4/10 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 4730% of peak ($47,204 / $998)0/10
Badges
3DCA Master
Avg 20.2 entries/market
Whale
$98,495 invested
High Roller
$1,492/day
Categories
1🏛️ POLITICS#1,638,686$-19,743Vol: $221,721
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-19,743
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$221,721
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
14
total markets
Trades
156B / 122S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d
Periods
#2Week
$-41
Vol: $0
All Time
$-19,743
Vol: $221,721
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
46%
6W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$-19,743
Win Rate
46%
6W / 7L
Profit Factor
0.19x
Avg Win
$1,797
Avg Loss
$-9,498
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10,429 (0.5282322092180459% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$8,736
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$892
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$801
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$185
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$156
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?$12
Top Losers
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-20,806
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-18,902
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$-10,398
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$-3,573
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$-3,268
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$-40
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.415
Sortino
-0.369
HHI
1503
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.472
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
23.6%
Top-5 markets
76.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
4.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.2
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 180s — normal for humanCV 2.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity4 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal56% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
20.15
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)1.3%
Mid (20-55c)47.4%
High (>55c)51.3%
Sessions
#126/27/2026, 10:01:38 PM32 trades$17,4680 min
5/29/2026, 9:26:28 PM24 trades$13,3580 min
6/25/2026, 3:55:55 PM1 trades$12,8440 min
6/14/2026, 9:32:49 PM25 trades$12,3220 min
6/3/2026, 6:39:40 PM11 trades$10,2074 min
6/8/2026, 4:57:21 AM2 trades$10,0000 min
6/14/2026, 11:36:18 PM6 trades$8,1230 min
6/4/2026, 7:43:45 PM7 trades$7,1710 min
6/11/2026, 7:52:16 PM7 trades$6,3211 min
6/25/2026, 6:01:02 PM1 trades$6,0000 min
6/13/2026, 11:11:45 PM5 trades$4,4390 min
6/23/2026, 1:31:28 AM1 trades$4,3220 min
6/26/2026, 9:44:31 PM5 trades$3,8402 min
6/11/2026, 8:00:15 PM1 trades$3,0160 min
6/14/2026, 4:10:58 AM6 trades$2,7290 min
6/23/2026, 1:18:26 PM1 trades$2,3280 min
6/13/2026, 7:41:18 PM5 trades$2,1109 min
6/14/2026, 12:58:04 AM2 trades$2,0220 min
6/27/2026, 7:50:59 PM1 trades$1,7170 min
6/25/2026, 4:16:44 PM2 trades$1,4061 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-23
05-27
05-29
06-07
06-08
06-11
06-13
06-14
06-25
06-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 20 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.15/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.3 / M47.4 / H51.3