@0xfe41e6fc51a57520aaa18e15eaf665c1801c556c
400xfe41e6fc51a57520aaa18e15eaf665c1801c556c
~27d· 35 markets · 1119 trades2026-08-02 04:12:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
79% (27/34)20/20
0.77x (win $7,623 / loss $9,857)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.7640/15
Sortino -1.8490/10
$-0.0143 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 553 (34 markets)9.7/10
16/20 profitable days (80%)10/10
Max DD 1749% of peak ($6,066 / $347)0/10
Badges
6Sniper
Win rate 79%
DCA Master
Avg 32.1 entries/market
Whale
$155,921 invested
Consistent
16/20 profitable days
High Roller
$2,107/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-7,961
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$155,921
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
35
total markets
Trades
118B / 1001S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
79%
27W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$-7,961
Win Rate
79%
27W / 7L
Profit Factor
0.77x
Avg Win
$282
Avg Loss
$-1,408
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,838 (0.3565210182618405% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1,143
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$950
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$745
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$612
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$381
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?$349
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$347
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$344
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?$337
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on May 28?$330
Top Losers
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$-5,032
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 28?$-2,615
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 28?$-843
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$-742
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-440
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$-181
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$-5
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.090
Sortino
-0.053
HHI
506
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.015
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.8%
Top-5 markets
37.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
15.1
Active
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
21.9
Bot Detection
#625
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 151s — normal for humanCV 1.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity15 trades/day — very active0.5 markets/day — normal11% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 13:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
32.09
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0.8%
Mid (20-55c)0.8%
High (>55c)98.3%
Sessions
#126/19/2026, 4:58:01 PM19 trades$16,6663 min
5/28/2026, 4:29:52 PM28 trades$13,1212 min
6/29/2026, 6:40:28 PM39 trades$10,7712 min
6/25/2026, 4:26:52 PM37 trades$10,5784 min
6/22/2026, 7:01:43 PM18 trades$10,3394 min
8/2/2026, 12:47:38 AM28 trades$10,2230 min
6/19/2026, 10:42:43 AM44 trades$9,5801 min
6/16/2026, 2:25:46 PM4 trades$9,5370 min
7/28/2026, 9:50:46 AM30 trades$8,3530 min
6/26/2026, 6:28:14 PM24 trades$8,2190 min
5/29/2026, 7:58:53 AM5 trades$8,0100 min
6/19/2026, 7:15:08 PM15 trades$7,9250 min
6/16/2026, 7:50:17 PM26 trades$6,4210 min
6/1/2026, 9:51:29 PM17 trades$6,3000 min
5/29/2026, 3:27:03 PM7 trades$5,3390 min
6/21/2026, 3:41:26 AM32 trades$5,0730 min
5/28/2026, 5:32:04 PM29 trades$4,9090 min
6/21/2026, 10:33:07 AM8 trades$4,0390 min
6/13/2026, 12:13:34 AM95 trades$4,0286 min
6/18/2026, 3:13:46 PM34 trades$3,5470 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-26
06-01
06-09
06-13
06-17
06-25
07-02
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 9 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
11.8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
89.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 32.09/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.8 / M0.8 / H98.3