@BriefRegret

#103,25261

0xfec2bf8f1126c0d20b8d7a1fb0a90012381175c8

~9d· 17 markets · 78 tradesVol: $17,4112026-08-02 08:00:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

61
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

30% (3/10)0/20
3.29x (win $2,047 / loss $623)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.06015/15
Sortino 45.33710/10
$+0.4067 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 2324 (10 markets)0.9/10
2/7 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 21% of peak ($367 / $1,729)9.8/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+638
Lottery Player
42% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 21%

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#133,079$20Vol: $15,159
SPORTS#1,532,076$-32Vol: $929
🎭 CULTURE#97,665$4Vol: $636

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$638
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,411
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
17
total markets
Trades
48B / 30S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~9d

Periods

#2
Week
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$638
Vol: $17,411

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
30%
3W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$638
Win Rate
30%
3W / 7L
Profit Factor
3.29x
Avg Win
$682
Avg Loss
$-104

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,047 (3.210485869326558% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by June 30, 2026?$1,306
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?$646
Will Russia enter Serhiivka by July 31?$96

Top Losers

Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30?$-188
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?$-159
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$-137
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?$-71
Spread: Moldova (-1.5)$-34
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?$-33

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.294
Sortino
3.479
HHI
387
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.113
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.4%
Top-5 markets
31.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
46%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
27
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 618s — normal for humanCV 1.47 — diverse sizes (human-like)46% night trades — never sleeps9/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.3
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)41.7%
Mid (20-55c)2.1%
High (>55c)56.2%

Sessions

#12
6/20/2026, 3:01:07 AM12 trades$1,9226 min
6/19/2026, 6:51:49 AM4 trades$6870 min
6/9/2026, 7:30:42 AM3 trades$6690 min
6/20/2026, 4:07:02 AM7 trades$6623 min
7/28/2026, 6:46:10 AM7 trades$6575 min
6/20/2026, 4:29:37 AM3 trades$6360 min
7/3/2026, 4:59:52 AM2 trades$3540 min
7/15/2026, 2:54:35 AM3 trades$3360 min
7/28/2026, 2:28:19 AM2 trades$3260 min
7/26/2026, 7:28:40 AM2 trades$3240 min
7/3/2026, 7:42:43 AM1 trades$3220 min
7/28/2026, 7:32:58 AM1 trades$3140 min
7/26/2026, 6:48:03 AM1 trades$3110 min
6/20/2026, 7:14:25 AM2 trades$1000 min
6/12/2026, 9:20:43 AM3 trades$862 min
6/12/2026, 8:34:51 AM1 trades$690 min
6/9/2026, 6:01:57 AM2 trades$623 min
6/10/2026, 6:48:24 AM5 trades$560 min
6/20/2026, 4:54:50 AM1 trades$540 min
6/19/2026, 3:17:17 AM2 trades$450 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-09
06-10
06-12
06-19
06-20
07-03
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 10 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.3/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L41.7 / M2.1 / H56.2