aldynspeedruns

@aldynspeedruns

#4,55851

0xff30ac5b2cb4822a1b15604ac90659ef71314a37

~206d· 568 markets · 15897 tradesVol: $24,541,4942026-08-02 04:06:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

51
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (351/567)16/20
1.03x (win $1,032,857 / loss $998,828)2.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.4107.7/15
Sortino 0.5175.2/10
$+0.0052 per $1 invested0.3/10
HHI 540 (567 markets)9.8/10
100/153 profitable days (65%)8.8/10
Max DD 122% of peak ($126,625 / $103,718)0/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 62%
Profitable
PnL $+37,589
Lottery Player
36% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 28.0 entries/market
Whale
$6,494,109 invested
Consistent
100/153 profitable days
High Roller
$8,995/day
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
91% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,881$24,485Vol: $11,353,324
📈 ECONOMICS#150$47,093Vol: $5,807,769
CRYPTO#858$46,823Vol: $4,261,341
💰 FINANCE#656,648$-5,563Vol: $1,637,761
🎭 CULTURE#816,520$-45,663Vol: $585,581
📢 MENTIONS#69$29,026Vol: $496,492
SPORTS#1,881,516$-65,822Vol: $194,239
🌤️ WEATHER#6,682$110Vol: $50,648
💻 TECH#752$2,254Vol: $19,680

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$37,589
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$24,541,494
Total Redeem
$236,336
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
568
total markets
Trades
9803B / 6094S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~206d

Periods

#2
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$37,589
Vol: $24,541,494

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
62%
351W / 216L events
Realized PnL
$37,589
Win Rate
62%
351W / 216L
Profit Factor
1.03x
Avg Win
$2,943
Avg Loss
$-4,689

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $639,440 (17.01129181623324% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$523,246
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?$86,188
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$30,006
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$26,626
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency? $24,981
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$22,763
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$20,766
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$20,643
Solana above $170 on November 1?$14,881
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$13,153

Top Losers

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-518,981
Will Ronaldo x MrBeast video get >20m views on day 1?$-66,261
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? $-48,527
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$-38,052
Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get less than 50m views on day 1?$-26,730
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$-24,097
Will Israel strike Iran on Friday Oct 25?$-22,104
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?$-20,300
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$-19,041
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$-16,278

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.021
Sortino
0.017
HHI
490
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.005
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.3%
Top-5 markets
37.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
22.0
Active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
36s
between trades
Avg Gap
18.2m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
58.6

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 36s — normal for humanCV 5.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock22 trades/day — high frequency0.8 markets/day — normal91% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
28.03
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)36.1%
Mid (20-55c)39.1%
High (>55c)24.9%

Sessions

#12
11/3/2024, 4:13:07 PM465 trades$581,74656 min
11/3/2024, 6:12:54 PM1129 trades$503,03687 min
2/3/2026, 12:25:44 AM25 trades$214,15212 min
10/24/2024, 9:12:31 PM5 trades$155,6428 min
2/3/2026, 4:49:08 AM7 trades$136,6555 min
2/2/2026, 9:34:34 PM12 trades$136,4413 min
2/2/2026, 10:49:34 PM43 trades$136,44113 min
2/2/2026, 8:23:12 PM11 trades$135,5924 min
2/2/2026, 8:55:08 PM13 trades$135,5928 min
2/3/2026, 10:47:12 PM7 trades$133,6928 min
2/3/2026, 11:23:20 PM22 trades$133,69223 min
2/3/2026, 11:33:00 AM8 trades$119,8804 min
11/1/2024, 6:00:26 AM5 trades$107,0632 min
11/4/2024, 4:22:23 PM6 trades$94,5276 min
2/3/2026, 8:00:14 AM3 trades$86,8785 min
1/31/2026, 5:10:30 PM18 trades$82,9489 min
10/27/2024, 5:38:19 AM1 trades$80,0260 min
2/3/2026, 7:17:50 PM5 trades$78,9172 min
11/4/2024, 8:56:33 PM41 trades$77,2329 min
4/17/2026, 2:44:08 PM20 trades$75,6518 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-03
09-27
10-26
12-02
09-04
12-08
04-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 511 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 28.03/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L36.1 / M39.1 / H24.9