@doubleone2
#25,234660xff9152ac8cb6260419ea8940248177083aceab3a
~225d· 569 markets · 14891 tradesVol: $3,291,6632026-08-02 04:11:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
61% (314/512)15.7/20
1.32x (win $176,256 / loss $133,570)6.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.01215/15
Sortino 2.32510/10
$+0.0372 per $1 invested1.9/10
HHI 103 (512 markets)10/10
99/175 profitable days (57%)6.6/10
Max DD 90% of peak ($50,351 / $56,138)0/10
Badges
7Sniper
Win rate 61%
Profitable
PnL $+4,719
DCA Master
Avg 26.1 entries/market
Whale
$1,148,732 invested
High Roller
$5,038/day
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
1🌤️ WEATHER#3,195$373Vol: $4,366
Overview
#1Net PnL
$5,005
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,291,663
Total Redeem
$5,837
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
569
total markets
Trades
8765B / 6126S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~225d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
61%
314W / 198L events
Realized PnL
$4,719
Win Rate
61%
314W / 198L
Profit Factor
1.32x
Avg Win
$561
Avg Loss
$-710
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $72,988 (15.465636157521692% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$28,713
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$23,360
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$20,915
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$4,858
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$4,351
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$3,747
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$3,421
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$3,134
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$2,900
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$2,618
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-17,158
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$-6,528
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-6,195
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?$-6,171
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 39 and 41 million views on week 1?$-5,407
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-5,222
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$-4,851
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-4,690
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-4,611
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-3,823
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.053
Sortino
0.090
HHI
72
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.043
Kelly %
7.5%
Half-Kelly
3.8%
Top-1 market
2.9%
Top-5 markets
11.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
65.3
Very active
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
33.6m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.11
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
19.8
Bot Detection
#640
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 278s — normal for humanCV 2.11 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock65 trades/day — mass trading2.5 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
26.13
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)12.2%
Mid (20-55c)24.1%
High (>55c)63.7%
Sessions
#124/7/2026, 10:36:05 PM96 trades$22,08948 min
4/17/2026, 12:49:36 PM40 trades$14,89211 min
3/17/2026, 10:07:19 AM9 trades$12,6826 min
6/14/2026, 9:14:31 PM64 trades$11,50819 min
2/28/2026, 7:36:51 AM38 trades$10,97136 min
6/14/2026, 9:39:45 PM53 trades$10,44927 min
12/23/2025, 11:33:11 PM5 trades$9,8482 min
5/5/2026, 11:12:14 PM15 trades$9,7704 min
5/28/2026, 11:03:01 AM12 trades$9,7291 min
12/21/2025, 3:09:49 PM1 trades$9,7280 min
4/19/2026, 7:25:04 PM11 trades$9,6250 min
4/8/2026, 1:40:27 AM4 trades$9,5222 min
5/21/2026, 10:50:52 AM45 trades$9,51012 min
5/7/2026, 3:29:38 PM56 trades$9,34112 min
12/22/2025, 5:04:28 AM22 trades$9,19430 min
4/12/2026, 6:28:17 PM35 trades$9,1793 min
4/7/2026, 7:47:33 PM17 trades$9,15118 min
4/3/2026, 12:12:31 PM24 trades$8,8699 min
5/22/2026, 9:52:39 PM29 trades$7,7579 min
5/14/2026, 7:41:30 AM22 trades$7,7480 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-18
01-17
02-20
03-31
05-11
06-17
07-29
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 99 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 26.13/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.2 / M24.1 / H63.7