@DonJoey1
#2,473640xff91aff2e663ef5753063241755ae6de10a8a1ed
~29d· 36 markets · 409 tradesVol: $545,1042026-08-02 06:30:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
64
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
26% (9/35)0/20
2.08x (win $111,188 / loss $53,470)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.21415/15
Sortino 11.55310/10
$+0.5551 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 788 (35 markets)8.6/10
6/19 profitable days (32%)0.4/10
Max DD 47% of peak ($43,885 / $92,857)4.5/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+75,717
Lottery Player
52% entries < $0.20
Whale
$103,985 invested
Categories
2🏛️ POLITICS#648$76,583Vol: $534,090
₿ CRYPTO#1,609,359$-866Vol: $11,014
Overview
#1Net PnL
$75,717
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$545,104
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
36
total markets
Trades
63B / 346S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d
Periods
#2Today
$-2,173
Vol: $0
Week
$-2,342
Vol: $0
Month
$-2,830
Vol: $4,765
All Time
$75,717
Vol: $545,104
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
26%
9W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$75,717
Win Rate
26%
9W / 26L
Profit Factor
2.08x
Avg Win
$12,354
Avg Loss
$-2,139
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $74,413 (0.9827763864855678% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$27,108
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$26,055
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$21,250
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$14,167
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?$12,342
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?$9,133
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$426
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2AM ET$419
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3AM ET$288
Top Losers
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$-9,995
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-9,190
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$-7,685
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?$-6,416
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$-3,595
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?$-2,751
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$-1,996
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?$-1,868
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?$-1,258
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-1,000
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.215
Sortino
0.626
HHI
693
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.583
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16%
Top-5 markets
49.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7h
between trades
Avg Gap
5.7h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
48
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.5
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 5988s — normal for humanCV 1.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal6% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 10:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
10.57
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)52.4%
Mid (20-55c)34.9%
High (>55c)12.7%
Sessions
#124/16/2026, 10:42:12 AM65 trades$31,8430 min
6/20/2026, 10:06:05 PM2 trades$23,3110 min
6/16/2026, 7:05:14 PM24 trades$17,9023 min
6/9/2026, 6:30:55 PM25 trades$13,5520 min
2/15/2026, 6:39:49 AM2 trades$11,0002 min
6/8/2026, 4:04:54 AM2 trades$10,5350 min
6/14/2026, 9:18:10 PM7 trades$10,1050 min
6/14/2026, 7:52:33 PM12 trades$10,0980 min
5/6/2026, 12:30:56 PM2 trades$9,9000 min
7/14/2026, 7:38:22 PM20 trades$9,5350 min
6/14/2026, 10:48:24 AM38 trades$9,3390 min
6/8/2026, 11:20:27 AM13 trades$7,1910 min
6/7/2026, 7:13:55 PM15 trades$6,8710 min
5/31/2026, 1:55:32 PM31 trades$6,4991 min
2/14/2026, 10:42:29 PM1 trades$5,0000 min
2/15/2026, 4:37:03 AM1 trades$5,0000 min
6/10/2026, 9:02:40 PM16 trades$4,6290 min
6/21/2026, 4:39:01 PM18 trades$4,4740 min
8/1/2026, 9:28:21 PM19 trades$4,2280 min
6/8/2026, 5:46:52 PM18 trades$3,5150 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-15
02-25
03-04
03-14
05-31
06-10
06-21
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 102 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
84.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.57/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L52.4 / M34.9 / H12.7