@16r0ob

#55,67756

0x0b3492ec87748d0f32427e8be4cbc650ff67ffc3

~250d· 4011 markets · 198797 tradesVol: $5,103,3302026-08-02 09:51:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

56
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (1511/3460)6.8/20
1.19x (win $6,434 / loss $5,426)4.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.05315/15
Sortino 2.37810/10
$+0.0921 per $1 invested4.6/10
HHI 36 (3460 markets)10/10
92/192 profitable days (48%)4.5/10
Max DD 88% of peak ($927 / $1,049)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+1,833
Lottery Player
83% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
4% sells
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#23,473$646Vol: $1,915,950
₿ CRYPTO#73,708$154Vol: $1,413,269
🎭 CULTURE#14,249$195Vol: $774,633
💰 FINANCE#13,727$166Vol: $456,147
⚽ SPORTS#177,502$42Vol: $186,737
📈 ECONOMICS#6,912$271Vol: $129,576
💻 TECH#5,555$114Vol: $93,656
🌤️ WEATHER#10,876$45Vol: $45,401
📢 MENTIONS#7,602$69Vol: $31,400

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,830
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,103,330
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
4011
total markets
Trades
11088B / 8779S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~250d

Periods

#2
Today
$17
Vol: $71
Week
$7
Vol: $71
Month
$0
Vol: $237
All Time
$1,830
Vol: $5,103,330

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
2379W / 4846L events
Realized PnL
$1,833
Win Rate
33%
2379W / 4846L
Profit Factor
1.19x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,611 (0.8792546516069186% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?$978
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$344
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-24?$290
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?$266
Will the US add more than 125k jobs in January?$127
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 14?$90
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of January?$77
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 December 29-January 4?$54
Will KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) hit 7000 (HIGH) in Q1 2026?$51
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$42

Top Losers

Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?$-418
Will the price of XRP be less than $1.40 on February 5?$-172
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on February 3?$-95
Will Trump say "China" during the State of the Union address?$-86
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?$-79
Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$-76
Will Trump say "Greenland" during the State of the Union address?$-52
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on January 29?$-51
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?$-50
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?$-43

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.055
Sortino
0.097
HHI
36
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.113
Kelly %
14.1%
Half-Kelly
7.0%
Top-1 market
4.1%
Top-5 markets
9.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
739.0
Very active
Markets / Day
14.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
21.5m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.14
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
15 min
Avg Trades / Session
16.4

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 312s — normal for humanCV 3.14 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock739 trades/day — automation15 markets/day — mass coverage9% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.08
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)83.1%
Mid (20-55c)9.1%
High (>55c)7.8%

Sessions

#12
4/8/2026, 12:08:15 PM2 trades$2200 min
4/2/2026, 10:04:39 AM2 trades$2010 min
2/3/2026, 3:01:58 PM71 trades$16065 min
6/24/2026, 9:08:01 PM2 trades$1410 min
2/4/2026, 4:24:45 PM23 trades$10022 min
2/14/2026, 4:53:41 PM34 trades$891 min
2/3/2026, 2:19:18 PM34 trades$8437 min
3/16/2026, 12:07:13 AM27 trades$7128 min
2/6/2026, 6:32:35 PM45 trades$6448 min
5/24/2026, 4:04:44 PM9 trades$624 min
3/5/2026, 2:37:55 AM4 trades$542 min
2/4/2026, 7:49:31 PM42 trades$5337 min
5/7/2026, 7:28:39 AM2 trades$520 min
2/27/2026, 10:08:53 AM4 trades$517 min
2/10/2026, 8:27:35 PM10 trades$4718 min
2/3/2026, 6:34:36 PM39 trades$4741 min
2/10/2026, 9:51:43 AM25 trades$4435 min
2/7/2026, 4:41:17 PM17 trades$4331 min
11/18/2025, 4:46:03 PM7 trades$420 min
2/10/2026, 7:56:03 PM8 trades$412 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-05
12-08
01-19
02-20
03-25
04-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 31 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
4.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.08/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L83.1 / M9.1 / H7.8