Archeroon

@Archeroon

#5,84471

0xeff9837de49ff99f1a2e5f7fa03e27a07b3c05fd

~133d· 525 markets · 6384 tradesVol: $3,196,5912026-08-02 08:50:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

71
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

63% (333/525)16.7/20
1.18x (win $129,449 / loss $110,026)4.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.38015/15
Sortino 2.12610/10
$+0.0277 per $1 invested1.4/10
HHI 195 (525 markets)10/10
71/119 profitable days (60%)7.4/10
Max DD 43% of peak ($13,257 / $31,054)5.5/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 63%
Profitable
PnL $+28,180
Lottery Player
47% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 12.2 entries/market
Whale
$701,719 invested
High Roller
$4,359/day
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
🎭 CULTURE#266$30,447Vol: $2,368,842
🏛️ POLITICS#3,033$13,221Vol: $611,480
CRYPTO#1,670,780$-11,745Vol: $143,089
💰 FINANCE#656,103$-3,333Vol: $66,897
SPORTS#1,784,055$-410Vol: $6,283

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$28,180
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,196,591
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
525
total markets
Trades
4094B / 2290S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~133d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
63%
333W / 192L events
Realized PnL
$28,180
Win Rate
63%
333W / 192L
Profit Factor
1.18x
Avg Win
$389
Avg Loss
$-576

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $21,189 (0.7519168716285967% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$10,342
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$5,567
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$5,280
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$4,439
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$4,357
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?$4,342
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$3,776
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$3,694
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$3,537
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?$3,139

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?$-5,742
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$-4,948
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$-4,615
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$-4,328
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?$-3,904
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$-3,713
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$-3,712
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$-3,476
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$-2,879
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$-2,727

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.072
Sortino
0.088
HHI
271
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.028
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.6%
Top-5 markets
30.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
39.7
Active
Markets / Day
3.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
44.8m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.87
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
32.1

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 70s — normal for humanCV 6.87 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock40 trades/day — high frequency3.3 markets/day — normal66% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.16
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)46.8%
Mid (20-55c)27%
High (>55c)26.2%

Sessions

#12
6/12/2026, 7:45:37 PM29 trades$34,7440 min
6/7/2026, 9:24:16 PM18 trades$33,1450 min
5/29/2026, 3:10:01 AM16 trades$31,2910 min
6/7/2026, 11:20:55 PM3 trades$29,8633 min
6/12/2026, 8:16:37 PM9 trades$28,4950 min
6/15/2026, 1:19:04 AM5 trades$27,9850 min
6/18/2026, 12:04:20 AM7 trades$26,9590 min
6/1/2026, 3:59:05 AM4 trades$25,4032 min
4/26/2026, 1:44:38 PM2 trades$25,0000 min
4/30/2026, 4:00:56 PM2 trades$24,0000 min
5/15/2026, 2:22:10 PM45 trades$18,15910 min
2/14/2026, 8:21:59 AM1005 trades$17,2863 min
6/15/2026, 1:35:28 PM1 trades$15,4590 min
2/6/2026, 4:38:23 PM2 trades$15,0283 min
6/14/2026, 9:33:25 PM7 trades$14,0163 min
6/18/2026, 10:02:05 PM2 trades$12,0860 min
6/21/2026, 7:44:31 AM11 trades$11,1002 min
2/11/2026, 5:46:43 PM7 trades$10,7815 min
6/6/2026, 9:22:57 AM17 trades$10,3870 min
5/29/2026, 4:05:27 AM2 trades$10,0000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-15
02-05
02-25
03-17
04-10
05-15
06-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 27 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.16/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L46.8 / M27 / H26.2