@BikesAreTheBikes
800x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c
~215d· 4320 markets · 51582 trades2026-08-02 08:55:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
80
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
45% (1733/3843)7.5/20
1.91x (win $339,114 / loss $177,288)13.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.47915/15
Sortino 21.07810/10
$+0.1099 per $1 invested5.5/10
HHI 55 (3843 markets)10/10
128/212 profitable days (60%)7.6/10
Max DD 6% of peak ($10,072 / $161,903)10/10
Badges
9Profitable
PnL $+88,257
DCA Master
Avg 11.4 entries/market
Whale
$1,471,951 invested
Consistent
128/212 profitable days
High Roller
$5,984/day
Cool Head
Max DD 6%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
75% maker orders
Overview
#1Net PnL
$88,257
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,471,951
Total Redeem
$3,750
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
4320
total markets
Trades
36654B / 14928S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~215d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
45%
1733W / 2110L events
Realized PnL
$88,257
Win Rate
45%
1733W / 2110L
Profit Factor
1.91x
Avg Win
$196
Avg Loss
$-84
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $101,751 (1.1528877512068958% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$73,092
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$14,654
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$14,005
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$12,132
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$7,814
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$7,672
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$6,969
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$6,243
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$5,746
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$5,625
Top Losers
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$-5,481
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-5,163
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$-5,047
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?$-4,929
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-3,869
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$-3,547
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$-3,405
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?$-3,095
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$-2,928
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-2,919
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.129
Sortino
0.830
HHI
38
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.142
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.5%
Top-5 markets
8.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
209.7
Very active
Markets / Day
17.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
6.3m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
63 min
Avg Trades / Session
77.0
Bot Detection
#665
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 128s — normal for humanCV 4.07 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock210 trades/day — automation18 markets/day — mass coverage75% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 17:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
11.45
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)13.6%
Mid (20-55c)14.5%
High (>55c)71.9%
Sessions
#126/14/2026, 9:05:40 PM335 trades$22,635175 min
5/23/2026, 7:36:36 PM221 trades$18,007126 min
7/30/2026, 2:50:42 PM10 trades$13,0860 min
6/30/2026, 7:27:10 AM1 trades$12,6000 min
6/11/2026, 5:14:31 PM159 trades$11,949153 min
5/23/2026, 10:28:33 PM165 trades$11,698173 min
6/7/2026, 6:43:42 PM59 trades$9,77439 min
6/13/2026, 11:07:31 AM108 trades$9,669126 min
6/17/2026, 8:19:23 PM172 trades$8,961165 min
7/23/2026, 10:29:37 AM2 trades$8,7990 min
6/11/2026, 12:19:33 PM5 trades$8,0148 min
2/22/2026, 7:12:48 PM371 trades$7,999182 min
6/17/2026, 11:21:47 PM162 trades$7,918136 min
6/13/2026, 1:57:28 PM169 trades$7,905152 min
6/17/2026, 7:22:46 AM3 trades$7,5603 min
6/7/2026, 7:27:42 PM77 trades$7,02961 min
5/23/2026, 5:44:47 PM85 trades$6,96995 min
7/3/2026, 9:02:53 AM2 trades$6,8820 min
6/12/2026, 2:48:58 PM95 trades$6,84198 min
6/6/2026, 2:19:21 PM7 trades$6,69612 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-30
01-10
03-10
04-16
05-21
06-25
08-01
08-02
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 12 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.45/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.6 / M14.5 / H71.9