@CalvinJudson

#211,84774

0x6e913f0e6cf4020cfd13311d2f7608fd41c26189

~29d· 51 markets · 111 tradesVol: $239,6012026-08-02 08:50:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

74
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (21/44)8.9/20
3.49x (win $501 / loss $143)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 7.02315/15
Sortino 24.52710/10
$+0.0020 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 638 (44 markets)9.3/10
14/25 profitable days (56%)6.5/10
Max DD 22% of peak ($79 / $358)9.6/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+127
Whale
$182,165 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 22%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

6
SPORTS#1,630,476$-68Vol: $96,616
🏛️ POLITICS#41,174$232Vol: $92,211
📈 ECONOMICS#641,230$-38Vol: $33,963
💰 FINANCE#528,849$-4Vol: $10,614
CRYPTO#290,921$5Vol: $5,538
🎭 CULTURE#562,892$-2Vol: $647

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$127
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$239,601
Total Redeem
$5,335
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
51
total markets
Trades
63B / 48S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$127
Vol: $239,601

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
21W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$127
Win Rate
48%
21W / 23L
Profit Factor
3.49x
Avg Win
$24
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $206 (1.6192689459587208% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$98
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$54
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$53
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$53
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$50
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$50
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$32
US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?$26
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$21
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13

Top Losers

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?$-45
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?$-28
Arsenal wins the Premier League?$-15
Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-10
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-6
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$-5
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-5
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-5
Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.360
Sortino
0.943
HHI
294
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.003
Kelly %
6.3%
Half-Kelly
3.2%
Top-1 market
6%
Top-5 markets
29.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
32s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3m
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
32
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 32s — normal for humanCV 0.90 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern14/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.02
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.6%
Mid (20-55c)14.3%
High (>55c)84.1%

Sessions

#12
2/15/2026, 6:01:01 AM12 trades$47,1958 min
6/26/2026, 3:20:31 PM16 trades$42,4815 min
6/20/2026, 9:20:11 AM14 trades$32,5626 min
2/11/2026, 8:44:21 AM7 trades$31,0627 min
5/26/2026, 2:40:21 PM11 trades$30,8072 min
2/13/2026, 9:35:09 AM9 trades$26,3385 min
5/26/2026, 2:27:38 PM4 trades$10,6211 min
4/27/2026, 2:55:36 PM2 trades$5,3490 min
3/23/2026, 9:43:45 AM1 trades$5,3290 min
3/18/2026, 6:25:09 AM1 trades$5,3080 min
12/6/2025, 3:30:33 PM1 trades$5520 min
12/18/2025, 2:40:05 PM1 trades$5520 min
12/20/2025, 7:45:16 AM1 trades$4730 min
12/27/2025, 3:48:15 AM1 trades$4680 min
6/23/2025, 2:25:09 PM4 trades$3203 min
10/19/2024, 4:48:28 AM3 trades$3011 min
11/16/2024, 12:57:15 AM3 trades$2671 min
3/5/2025, 6:12:05 AM2 trades$1831 min
7/19/2025, 10:25:10 AM3 trades$1621 min
12/21/2024, 9:29:38 PM2 trades$1611 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-15
12-21
04-24
10-30
02-11
03-23
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 422 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.02/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.6 / M14.3 / H84.1