@CaptainCoinflip
#2,111840xb8fe807aa951e35af53fd0fee36abc303864ce76
~278d· 552 markets · 12695 tradesVol: $5,179,1882026-08-02 15:43:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
84
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
60% (320/532)15.1/20
2.14x (win $199,041 / loss $92,936)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.15115/15
Sortino 6.45810/10
$+0.0557 per $1 invested2.8/10
HHI 113 (532 markets)10/10
126/204 profitable days (62%)7.9/10
Max DD 27% of peak ($35,438 / $130,155)8.6/10
Badges
10Sniper
Win rate 60%
Profitable
PnL $+90,557
Lottery Player
34% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 23.4 entries/market
Whale
$1,904,793 invested
Consistent
126/204 profitable days
High Roller
$4,646/day
Cool Head
Max DD 27%
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#529$96,087Vol: $4,332,180
🎭 CULTURE#814,340$-3,127Vol: $385,500
💰 FINANCE#656,067$-3,058Vol: $204,167
🌤️ WEATHER#1,556$1,045Vol: $172,315
₿ CRYPTO#1,347,702$-37Vol: $50,386
📈 ECONOMICS#672,713$-349Vol: $29,480
⚽ SPORTS#1,242,171$-6Vol: $5,103
📢 MENTIONS#32,272$2Vol: $56
Overview
#1Net PnL
$90,557
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,179,188
Total Redeem
$150,234
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
552
total markets
Trades
7454B / 5241S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~278d
Periods
#2Today
$-569
Vol: $18,646
Week
$3,357
Vol: $18,646
Month
$2,113
Vol: $90,314
All Time
$90,557
Vol: $5,179,188
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
60%
320W / 212L events
Realized PnL
$90,557
Win Rate
60%
320W / 212L
Profit Factor
2.14x
Avg Win
$622
Avg Loss
$-449
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $68,224 (0.7533820023344336% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$38,020
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$18,723
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?$11,481
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$10,000
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$8,818
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$8,780
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$8,588
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$5,426
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 8?$4,381
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?$3,940
Top Losers
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-8,860
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$-8,809
Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?$-7,583
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-4,141
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?$-3,409
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?$-3,335
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$-2,606
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$-2,594
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 26, 2026?$-2,099
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 9, 2026?$-1,900
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.112
Sortino
0.225
HHI
117
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.058
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.1%
Top-5 markets
15.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
31.0
Active
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
38.3m
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
35.6
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 88s — normal for humanCV 5.07 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock31 trades/day — high frequency1.3 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 7:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
23.39
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)34.3%
Mid (20-55c)14.1%
High (>55c)51.6%
Sessions
#124/7/2026, 10:56:51 PM138 trades$154,80733 min
2/28/2026, 6:53:59 AM77 trades$120,36644 min
4/8/2026, 1:09:13 AM2 trades$96,3640 min
4/4/2026, 5:41:27 PM187 trades$61,64425 min
4/9/2026, 7:32:47 PM392 trades$34,00669 min
6/8/2026, 5:42:43 AM7 trades$31,5232 min
2/28/2026, 7:29:47 PM8 trades$30,9314 min
3/1/2026, 9:13:19 AM1 trades$30,8840 min
2/28/2026, 6:38:49 AM18 trades$30,1469 min
6/15/2026, 8:12:48 AM16 trades$28,3282 min
6/1/2026, 12:25:43 PM4 trades$25,0000 min
4/10/2026, 6:14:05 AM158 trades$23,46319 min
3/4/2026, 5:21:59 PM8 trades$23,3795 min
3/5/2026, 8:46:41 AM5 trades$23,1535 min
3/9/2026, 8:47:29 PM2 trades$21,9642 min
4/8/2026, 11:24:09 AM33 trades$21,2746 min
4/11/2026, 7:19:07 PM25 trades$20,63911 min
3/9/2026, 9:10:59 AM18 trades$20,4745 min
7/25/2026, 11:05:25 PM1 trades$20,4410 min
3/5/2026, 9:49:27 AM1 trades$19,9240 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-19
11-03
12-21
02-10
04-03
05-23
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 47 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 23.39/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L34.3 / M14.1 / H51.6