@Climatologist

#24,78350

0xd06f9b9147113082f59289e8c0354a08fa306719

~137d· 1959 markets · 30704 tradesVol: $1,633,802 @Climatologist_2026-08-03 00:52:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

50
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

39% (752/1953)4.3/20
1.07x (win $32,766 / loss $30,623)3.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.92415/15
Sortino 1.52610/10
$+0.0189 per $1 invested0.9/10
HHI 158 (1953 markets)10/10
61/127 profitable days (48%)4.5/10
Max DD 61% of peak ($2,837 / $4,688)1.9/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+5,111
Lottery Player
66% entries < $0.20
Whale
$113,387 invested
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🌤️ WEATHER#380$5,286Vol: $1,485,077
🏛️ POLITICS#1,377,157$-20Vol: $101,694
SPORTS#1,710,771$-140Vol: $38,260
CRYPTO#963,214$-3Vol: $5,161
🎭 CULTURE#518,522$-1Vol: $2,924
💰 FINANCE#420,024$-0Vol: $400
📢 MENTIONS#131,244$-11Vol: $286

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,111
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,633,802
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1959
total markets
Trades
19754B / 10950S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~137d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$5,111
Vol: $1,633,802

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
39%
752W / 1201L events
Realized PnL
$5,111
Win Rate
39%
752W / 1201L
Profit Factor
1.07x
Avg Win
$44
Avg Loss
$-26

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,515 (0.8833481379450677% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 12?$1,559
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on April 28?$1,484
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 17?$1,472
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on May 27?$1,323
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 17?$1,182
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C or below on May 7?$887
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on May 6?$883
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 28?$868
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 1?$847
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 15?$753

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on June 17?$-1,311
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 1?$-652
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 11?$-603
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 7?$-598
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 16?$-585
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 9?$-512
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on June 10?$-508
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 30?$-460
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 21?$-457
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 12?$-448

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.048
Sortino
0.069
HHI
45
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.019
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.4%
Top-5 markets
8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
171.5
Very active
Markets / Day
10.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
10.1m
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
30 min
Avg Trades / Session
133.3

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 64s — normal for humanCV 3.46 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock172 trades/day — automation11 markets/day — mass coverage64% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
15.71
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)66%
Mid (20-55c)10.5%
High (>55c)23.6%

Sessions

#12
5/12/2026, 7:45:51 PM2263 trades$44,59312 min
5/7/2026, 10:20:33 AM293 trades$24,701104 min
5/14/2026, 11:44:57 AM10 trades$20,02915 min
6/15/2026, 10:13:16 AM55 trades$14,5458 min
4/27/2026, 11:00:24 AM97 trades$12,76733 min
5/10/2026, 11:40:12 PM65 trades$9,40228 min
6/17/2026, 10:34:49 PM75 trades$7,5149 min
5/12/2026, 12:40:29 PM73 trades$5,40533 min
4/26/2026, 3:44:12 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
4/29/2026, 7:57:52 AM39 trades$4,4767 min
6/12/2026, 1:36:30 PM305 trades$4,06480 min
5/10/2026, 9:16:54 PM40 trades$3,8356 min
6/12/2026, 12:32:31 PM377 trades$3,82057 min
5/5/2026, 10:24:38 AM35 trades$3,60614 min
6/17/2026, 11:55:49 PM111 trades$3,52842 min
6/17/2026, 7:20:02 PM122 trades$3,46865 min
5/10/2026, 10:40:59 AM30 trades$3,43719 min
6/17/2026, 8:45:40 PM134 trades$3,43256 min
5/17/2026, 6:21:35 PM117 trades$3,0998 min
5/8/2026, 2:32:37 PM336 trades$2,833128 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-20
02-10
03-03
03-25
05-04
06-12
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 7 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
98% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.71/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L66 / M10.5 / H23.6