@Davidbill

#61,28991

0x6a2f0438131fb53ade99442ead13558eece87105

~176d· 678 markets · 4241 tradesVol: $495,946 @DavidBilek92026-08-02 09:48:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

91
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

72% (451/628)20/20
2.64x (win $5,517 / loss $2,092)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.59315/15
Sortino 7.67010/10
$+0.0100 per $1 invested0.5/10
HHI 153 (628 markets)10/10
105/137 profitable days (77%)10/10
Max DD 19% of peak ($660 / $3,425)10/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 72%
Profitable
PnL $+1,604
DCA Master
Avg 5.3 entries/market
Whale
$340,827 invested
Consistent
105/137 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 19%
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
86% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#16,307$1,161Vol: $316,325
🌤️ WEATHER#253,971$-15Vol: $39,758
📢 MENTIONS#3,626$239Vol: $37,147
💰 FINANCE#14,368$153Vol: $34,265
🎭 CULTURE#22,023$92Vol: $24,795
⚽ SPORTS#1,735,446$-193Vol: $14,448
₿ CRYPTO#65,754$196Vol: $9,599
📈 ECONOMICS#629,782$-22Vol: $6,800

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,601
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$495,946
Total Redeem
$5,088
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
678
total markets
Trades
3466B / 775S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~176d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$63
Vol: $0
Month
$2
Vol: $107
All Time
$1,601
Vol: $495,946

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
72%
451W / 177L events
Realized PnL
$1,604
Win Rate
72%
451W / 177L
Profit Factor
2.64x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-12

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,077 (0.6713039465725491% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$378
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$358
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?$341
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$255
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$223
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?$201
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$182
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$181
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?$160
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?$129

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-651
T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Italy vs Nepal - Team Top Batter Draw$-297
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?$-157
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$-105
Will "The Great Divide" - Noah Kahan debut week album sales be between 350k and 375k?$-82
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?$-64
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-28?$-56
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?$-50
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$-41
Will Drake feature Yeat on ICEMAN?$-32

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.239
Sortino
0.200
HHI
132
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.012
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.6%
Top-5 markets
18%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.7

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 450s — normal for humanCV 1.84 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal86% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.3
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.9%
Mid (20-55c)7.2%
High (>55c)88.9%

Sessions

#12
7/1/2026, 9:03:46 PM9 trades$4,8942 min
4/1/2026, 11:06:43 AM14 trades$4,27413 min
5/1/2026, 10:24:04 PM134 trades$3,63464 min
5/6/2026, 1:38:58 PM8 trades$3,1462 min
6/22/2026, 2:11:32 PM12 trades$2,6896 min
6/28/2026, 4:28:52 PM2 trades$2,5740 min
5/5/2026, 11:29:36 PM10 trades$2,5462 min
5/1/2026, 8:40:02 PM29 trades$2,52343 min
4/3/2026, 11:49:15 AM5 trades$2,5113 min
4/29/2026, 6:33:24 PM1 trades$2,3900 min
4/29/2026, 3:01:58 PM3 trades$2,3880 min
4/29/2026, 2:45:14 PM1 trades$2,1890 min
4/9/2026, 7:24:43 PM8 trades$2,1670 min
6/9/2026, 8:35:57 PM2 trades$2,0500 min
4/22/2026, 8:45:18 PM7 trades$2,0485 min
4/2/2026, 1:42:09 AM1 trades$1,9980 min
4/22/2026, 4:38:58 PM2 trades$1,9980 min
4/2/2026, 10:14:55 AM4 trades$1,9961 min
6/30/2026, 7:06:59 PM2 trades$1,9960 min
4/1/2026, 12:48:01 PM2 trades$1,9920 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-06
03-09
04-02
04-27
05-20
06-17
07-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 6 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
18.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.3/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.9 / M7.2 / H88.9