@Donden
720xa35ee0bf0befb73c2de35ba4d2977bd143bf0188
~108d· 71 markets · 1867 trades2026-08-02 09:51:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
72
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
75% (49/65)20/20
1.47x (win $75,760 / loss $51,668)8.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.36615/15
Sortino 1.79310/10
$+0.0396 per $1 invested2/10
HHI 1195 (65 markets)6.5/10
30/38 profitable days (79%)10/10
Max DD 84% of peak ($48,320 / $57,683)0/10
Badges
7Sniper
Win rate 75%
DCA Master
Avg 27.0 entries/market
Whale
$608,880 invested
Consistent
30/38 profitable days
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
78% maker orders
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-3,100
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$608,880
Total Redeem
$243
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
71
total markets
Trades
1400B / 467S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~108d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
75%
49W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$-3,100
Win Rate
75%
49W / 16L
Profit Factor
1.47x
Avg Win
$1,546
Avg Loss
$-3,229
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $47,373 (15.283008946055897% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$32,900
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$7,832
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$6,641
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?$4,455
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$4,094
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?$3,770
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$2,101
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?$1,506
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$1,308
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$1,257
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-24,744
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-16,522
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-5,098
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$-2,345
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$-1,860
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?$-353
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?$-196
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?$-187
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-135
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$-102
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.070
Sortino
0.044
HHI
1388
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.040
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
34.3%
Top-5 markets
58%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.26
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.4
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 290s — normal for humanCV 3.26 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal78% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
27.02
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)7.5%
Mid (20-55c)3.5%
High (>55c)89%
Sessions
#125/16/2026, 11:41:15 PM12 trades$40,4696 min
5/18/2026, 4:25:06 PM4 trades$33,3870 min
6/14/2026, 11:04:42 PM14 trades$31,4724 min
6/1/2026, 3:05:55 AM1 trades$28,4640 min
5/11/2026, 3:44:12 AM4 trades$28,3994 min
5/2/2026, 8:31:12 AM2 trades$18,4000 min
5/16/2026, 10:44:47 PM15 trades$17,8083 min
5/28/2026, 2:13:20 PM6 trades$12,0002 min
5/13/2026, 2:45:35 PM9 trades$11,8850 min
5/15/2026, 12:38:05 PM16 trades$11,5886 min
4/30/2026, 1:04:42 PM7 trades$11,3203 min
4/30/2026, 7:25:38 AM10 trades$10,8677 min
4/30/2026, 2:13:00 PM32 trades$10,79115 min
6/6/2026, 8:38:00 PM2 trades$10,5780 min
5/31/2026, 11:40:35 AM7 trades$10,5690 min
5/30/2026, 9:28:03 AM1 trades$10,4500 min
5/17/2026, 4:37:01 PM4 trades$10,0103 min
6/14/2026, 10:38:58 PM7 trades$10,0063 min
4/30/2026, 1:58:24 PM15 trades$9,9984 min
6/5/2026, 2:02:13 PM1 trades$9,7200 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-07
04-22
05-01
05-15
06-22
07-07
07-30
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 32 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 27.02/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.5 / M3.5 / H89